PENDING
Result: 1 — U. De Chile to win
DirectWinPredict Copa Chile U. De Chile vs San Felipe
U

U. De Chile

Home Side
D W W D D
5W 3D 2L
VS
10:30 pm
Copa Chile
S
San Felipe
Away Side
W D W L W
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing U. De Chile to win — Sunday, 28th June 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 58%
Implied Prob 76.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
8
U. De Chile
1
Draws
1
San Felipe
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick U. De Chile won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
U. De Chile
Metric
San Felipe
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheet %
30%
5-3-2
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
50%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
U0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
U1
1-0 9.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
U2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
U3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
U4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
U5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.9%) 1-0 (9.7%) 2-0 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · U=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
U. De Chile Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
San Felipe Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
U. De Chile
Overall
5.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.3
San Felipe
Overall
4.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
01.09.12LDP
U. De Chile2
San Felipe0
23.03.12LDP
San Felipe0
U. De Chile1
10.09.11LDP
San Felipe0
U. De Chile3
17.07.11CUP
U. De Chile1
San Felipe0
27.06.11CUP
San Felipe0
U. De Chile1
28.05.11LDP
U. De Chile1
San Felipe1
25.05.11LDP
San Felipe1
U. De Chile2
06.03.11LDP
U. De Chile0
San Felipe2
02.10.10LDP
San Felipe1
U. De Chile2
27.03.10LDP
U. De Chile4
San Felipe2
Recent Form
U. De Chile
25.06.26CUP
Union La Calera3
U. De Chile3
D
21.06.26CUP
U. De Chile4
S. Wanderers1
W
19.06.26LDP
U. De Chile2
O’Higgins0
W
14.06.26LDP
Union La Calera2
U. De Chile2
D
07.06.26CDL
U. De Chile2
A. Italiano2
D
30.05.26LDP
U. De Chile2
D. Concepcion1
W
17.05.26LDP
Cobresal1
U. De Chile0
L
10.05.26CDL
Union La Calera1
U. De Chile0
L
02.05.26CDL
La Serena0
U. De Chile5
W
25.04.26LDP
U. De Chile1
U. Catolica0
W
San Felipe
21.06.26CUP
Union La Calera0
San Felipe2
W
09.06.26LDA
U. Espanola2
San Felipe2
D
30.05.26LDA
San Felipe1
D. Puerto Montt0
W
24.05.26LDA
Deportes Temuco5
San Felipe0
L
16.05.26LDA
San Felipe2
Rangers1
W
10.05.26LDA
Copiapo2
San Felipe1
L
04.05.26LDA
San Luis4
San Felipe0
L
25.04.26LDA
San Felipe0
Magallanes1
L
19.04.26LDA
CD Santa Cruz1
San Felipe3
W
11.04.26LDA
San Felipe0
Curico Unido0
D
U. De Chile (Home)
21.06.26CUP
U. De Chile4
S. Wanderers1
W
19.06.26LDP
U. De Chile2
O’Higgins0
W
07.06.26CDL
U. De Chile2
A. Italiano2
D
30.05.26LDP
U. De Chile2
D. Concepcion1
W
25.04.26LDP
U. De Chile1
U. Catolica0
W
05.04.26LDP
U. De Chile4
La Serena0
W
24.03.26CDL
U. De Chile0
Union La Calera1
L
20.03.26CDL
U. De Chile2
La Serena2
D
10.03.26LDP
U. De Chile1
U. De Concepcion1
D
05.03.26COP
U. De Chile1
Palestino2
L
San Felipe (Away)
21.06.26CUP
Union La Calera0
San Felipe2
W
09.06.26LDA
U. Espanola2
San Felipe2
D
24.05.26LDA
Deportes Temuco5
San Felipe0
L
10.05.26LDA
Copiapo2
San Felipe1
L
04.05.26LDA
San Luis4
San Felipe0
L
19.04.26LDA
CD Santa Cruz1
San Felipe3
W
29.03.26LDA
Cobreloa2
San Felipe0
L
13.03.26LDA
Recoleta2
San Felipe0
L
22.02.26LDA
Deportes Iquique5
San Felipe0
L
07.02.26CUP
S. Wanderers3
San Felipe1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 28th June 2026, U. De Chile host San Felipe at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile) in Copa Chile. We recommend U. De Chile to win as the standout selection.

U. De Chile arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

San Felipe are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour U. De Chile, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to San Felipe's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: u. de chile to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Copa Chile preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.31, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 10:30 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for U. De Chile vs San Felipe?
Our selection is 1 — U. De Chile to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is U. De Chile's current form?
U. De Chile have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has San Felipe been performing recently?
San Felipe have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
U. De Chile lead with 8 wins versus San Felipe's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
Scroll to Top