PENDING
Result: 1 — Rostov 2 to win
DirectWinPredict Russia FNL 2 Rostov 2 vs Astrakhan
R

Rostov 2

Home Side
W D W W W
8W 1D 1L
VS
4:00 pm
Russia FNL 2
A
Astrakhan
Away Side
L W L W W
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Rostov 2 to win — Saturday, 27th June 2026
Best Odds 1.35
Confidence 66%
Implied Prob 74.1%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Rostov 2 to win
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
74.1%
Based on 1.35 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-8.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Rostov 2
0
Draws
1
Astrakhan
4
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
75%
Over 2.5
3.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Rostov 2 won 3 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Rostov 2
Metric
Astrakhan
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheet %
30%
8-1-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
80%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
R0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
R1
1-0 8.8%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 6.3%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
R2
2-0 8.1%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
R3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
R4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
R5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.7%) 1-0 (8.8%) 2-0 (8.1%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · R=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Rostov 2 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Astrakhan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Rostov 2
Overall
8.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
7.0
Astrakhan
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
21.06.25FNL2B
Astrakhan2
Rostov 20
05.04.25FNL2B
Rostov 24
Astrakhan1
21.09.24FNL2B
Astrakhan1
Rostov 23
25.05.24FNL2B
Rostov 23
Astrakhan0
Recent Form
Rostov 2
20.06.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran1
Rostov 22
W
13.06.26FNL2B
Rostov 21
Spartak Nalchik1
D
06.06.26FNL2B
Izberbash1
Rostov 23
W
30.05.26FNL2B
Rostov 23
Dynamo Makhachkala 21
W
23.05.26FNL2B
Rostov 25
FK Chayka 20
W
16.05.26FNL2B
Lugansk1
Rostov 22
W
08.05.26FNL2B
Shahter Taganrog3
Rostov 22
L
02.05.26FNL2B
Kyzyltash1
Rostov 22
W
25.04.26FNL2B
Rostov 21
Rubin Yalta0
W
18.04.26FNL2B
Maykop0
Rostov 22
W
Astrakhan
20.06.26FNL2B
Astrakhan1
FC Sevastopol2
L
13.06.26FNL2B
PSK Dinskoy rayon1
Astrakhan4
W
06.06.26FNL2B
Astrakhan0
Shahter Taganrog3
L
30.05.26FNL2B
FK Chayka 20
Astrakhan3
W
24.05.26FNL2B
Dynamo Makhachkala 20
Astrakhan2
W
16.05.26FNL2B
Astrakhan1
FK Pobeda3
L
08.05.26FNL2B
Astrakhan3
Izberbash1
W
02.05.26FNL2B
Maykop0
Astrakhan0
D
25.04.26FNL2B
Astrakhan1
Nart Cherkessk1
D
18.04.26FNL2B
Kyzyltash3
Astrakhan0
L
Rostov 2 (Home)
13.06.26FNL2B
Rostov 21
Spartak Nalchik1
D
30.05.26FNL2B
Rostov 23
Dynamo Makhachkala 21
W
23.05.26FNL2B
Rostov 25
FK Chayka 20
W
25.04.26FNL2B
Rostov 21
Rubin Yalta0
W
11.04.26FNL2B
Rostov 20
Nart Cherkessk1
L
28.03.26FNL2B
Rostov 24
PSK Dinskoy rayon2
W
22.11.25FNL2B
Rostov 20
Kholding0
D
08.11.25FNL2B
Rostov 20
Nart Cherkessk1
L
01.11.25FNL2B
Rostov 22
FK Pobeda1
W
18.10.25FNL2B
Rostov 21
Dynamo Stavropol2
L
Astrakhan (Away)
13.06.26FNL2B
Rostov 21
Spartak Nalchik1
D
30.05.26FNL2B
Rostov 23
Dynamo Makhachkala 21
W
23.05.26FNL2B
Rostov 25
FK Chayka 20
W
25.04.26FNL2B
Rostov 21
Rubin Yalta0
W
11.04.26FNL2B
Rostov 20
Nart Cherkessk1
L
28.03.26FNL2B
Rostov 24
PSK Dinskoy rayon2
W
22.11.25FNL2B
Rostov 20
Kholding0
D
08.11.25FNL2B
Rostov 20
Nart Cherkessk1
L
01.11.25FNL2B
Rostov 22
FK Pobeda1
W
18.10.25FNL2B
Rostov 21
Dynamo Stavropol2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 27th June 2026, Rostov 2 host Astrakhan in Russia FNL 2. We recommend Rostov 2 to win as the standout selection.

Rostov 2 arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Astrakhan are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Rostov 2, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Astrakhan's 1, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: rostov 2 to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Russia FNL 2 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at the host venue, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.35, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 4:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Rostov 2 vs Astrakhan?
Our selection is 1 — Rostov 2 to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Rostov 2's current form?
Rostov 2 have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Astrakhan been performing recently?
Astrakhan have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Rostov 2 lead with 3 wins versus Astrakhan's 1, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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