PENDING
Result: 1 — Nykopings to win
DirectWinPredict Sweden D2 Sodra Svealand Nykopings vs Nacka FC
N

Nykopings

Home Side
D L L W W
6W 2D 2L
VS
6:00 pm
Sweden D2 Sodra Svealand
N
Nacka FC
Away Side
L L L L L
0W 1D 9L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Nykopings to win — Thursday, 25th June 2026
Best Odds 1.30
Confidence 61%
Implied Prob 76.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Nykopings to win
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
76.9%
Based on 1.30 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-15.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Nykopings
1
Draws
0
Nacka FC
5
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
4.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Nykopings won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Nykopings
Metric
Nacka FC
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.7
Goals Against / Game
2.5
40%
Clean Sheet %
0%
6-2-2
W — D — L
0-1-9
Win Rate Comparison
60%
0%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
N0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 14.1%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 3.5%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 13.4%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 8.5%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.1%) 2-0 (13.4%) 2-1 (9.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   N=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Nykopings Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Nacka FC Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Nykopings
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.7
Nacka FC
Overall
0.3
Scoring
2.3
Defence
1.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 44%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
29.05.26DIV
Nacka FC0
Nykopings2
08.09.24DIV
Nykopings3
Nacka FC2
10.05.24DIV
Nacka FC1
Nykopings4
10.09.23DIV
Nykopings3
Nacka FC1
12.05.23DIV
Nacka FC3
Nykopings3
Recent Form
Nykopings
22.06.26DIV
Sleipner1
Nykopings1
D
15.06.26DIV
Nykopings0
Smedby1
L
06.06.26DIV
Nykopings0
Fittja2
L
29.05.26DIV
Nacka FC0
Nykopings2
W
23.05.26DIV
Ragsved1
Nykopings2
W
14.05.26DIV
Nykopings1
Lindo FF0
W
10.05.26DIV
Eker Orebro1
Nykopings1
D
03.05.26DIV
Nykopings3
Farsta1
W
26.04.26DIV
Nykopings2
Forward0
W
18.04.26DIV
Karlslund0
Nykopings1
W
Nacka FC
21.06.26DIV
Nacka FC0
Eker Orebro1
L
14.06.26DIV
Lindo FF4
Nacka FC0
L
06.06.26DIV
Nacka FC1
Haninge5
L
29.05.26DIV
Nacka FC0
Nykopings2
L
24.05.26DIV
Karlslund2
Nacka FC1
L
16.05.26DIV
Syrianska2
Nacka FC2
D
10.05.26DIV
Nacka FC1
Forward2
L
03.05.26DIV
Orebro Syr.2
Nacka FC0
L
25.04.26DIV
Nacka FC1
Sleipner2
L
18.04.26DIV
Smedby3
Nacka FC1
L
Nykopings (Home)
15.06.26DIV
Nykopings0
Smedby1
L
06.06.26DIV
Nykopings0
Fittja2
L
14.05.26DIV
Nykopings1
Lindo FF0
W
03.05.26DIV
Nykopings3
Farsta1
W
26.04.26DIV
Nykopings2
Forward0
W
11.04.26DIV
Nykopings6
Haninge1
W
29.03.26DIV
Nykopings3
Orebro Syr.0
W
19.10.25DIV
Nykopings2
Farsta1
W
27.09.25DIV
Nykopings5
Sylvia1
W
07.09.25DIV
Nykopings1
Ragsved1
D
Nacka FC (Away)
14.06.26DIV
Lindo FF4
Nacka FC0
L
24.05.26DIV
Karlslund2
Nacka FC1
L
16.05.26DIV
Syrianska2
Nacka FC2
D
03.05.26DIV
Orebro Syr.2
Nacka FC0
L
18.04.26DIV
Smedby3
Nacka FC1
L
27.03.26DIV
Ragsved1
Nacka FC0
L
11.10.25DIV
Ytterhogdal5
Nacka FC4
L
27.09.25DIV
Skiljebo1
Nacka FC2
W
13.09.25DIV
Osteraker IFK0
Nacka FC2
W
29.08.25DIV
IK Franke2
Nacka FC2
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 25th June 2026, Nykopings host Nacka FC in Sweden D2 Sodra Svealand. We recommend Nykopings to win as the standout selection.

Nykopings arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Nacka FC are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 1D 9L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Nykopings, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Nacka FC's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: nykopings to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Sweden D2 Sodra Svealand preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at the host venue, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 5 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.30, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 6:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nykopings vs Nacka FC?
Our selection is 1 — Nykopings to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Nykopings's current form?
Nykopings have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Nacka FC been performing recently?
Nacka FC have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nykopings lead with 4 wins versus Nacka FC's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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