PENDING
Result: 1 — Nejmeh SC to win
DirectWinPredict Lebanon Premier League Nejmeh SC vs Tadamon
N

Nejmeh SC

Home Side
W L W L W
4W 2D 2L
VS
1:30 pm
Lebanon Premier League
T
Tadamon
Away Side
W D L D D
1W 4D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Nejmeh SC to win — Thursday, 25th June 2026
Best Odds 1.17
Confidence 53%
Implied Prob 85.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Nejmeh SC to win
1.17
Under 2.5 Goals67%
Implied Prob
85.5%
Based on 1.17 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-32.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
6
Nejmeh SC
4
Draws
0
Tadamon
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Nejmeh SC won 6 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Nejmeh SC
Metric
Tadamon
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.5
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.2
38%
Clean Sheet %
30%
4-2-2
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate Comparison
50%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
N0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 7.2%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 17.2%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 3.6%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 13.3%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 2.8%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 6.9%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (17.2%) 2-0 (13.3%) 2-1 (8.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   T=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Nejmeh SC Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Tadamon Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Nejmeh SC
Overall
5.8
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.5
Tadamon
Overall
2.2
Scoring
1.7
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 36%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.12.25PL
Tadamon0
Nejmeh SC0
17.07.25PL
Nejmeh SC4
Tadamon1
21.06.25PL
Nejmeh SC5
Tadamon1
07.05.25PL
Tadamon1
Nejmeh SC1
07.02.25PL
Nejmeh SC1
Tadamon0
19.08.23PL
Tadamon0
Nejmeh SC3
27.11.22PL
Tadamon0
Nejmeh SC0
02.01.22PL
Tadamon1
Nejmeh SC1
08.12.20PL
Nejmeh SC2
Tadamon0
27.09.19PL
Nejmeh SC2
Tadamon1
Recent Form
Nejmeh SC
21.06.26PL
Nejmeh SC5
Al-Mabarrah0
W
16.06.26PL
Jwayya2
Nejmeh SC1
L
12.06.26PL
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
W
15.05.26PL
Nejmeh SC2
Al Hikma1
W
12.05.26PL
Nejmeh SC1
Jwayya1
D
21.02.26PL
Nejmeh SC4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah0
W
07.02.26PL
Al Sahel1
Nejmeh SC1
D
31.01.26PL
Safa1
Nejmeh SC0
L
Tadamon
21.06.26PL
Tadamon1
Racing0
W
16.06.26PL
Tadamon1
Al-Mabarrah1
D
27.02.26PL
Jwayya1
Tadamon0
L
21.02.26PL
Al Ahed0
Tadamon0
D
13.02.26PL
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah1
Tadamon1
D
31.01.26PL
Tadamon1
Al Sahel2
L
24.01.26PL
Safa2
Tadamon0
L
18.01.26CUP
Al Ahed3
Tadamon1
L
26.12.25PL
Al Ansar2
Tadamon0
L
19.12.25PL
Tadamon0
Al Hikma0
D
Nejmeh SC (Home)
21.06.26PL
Nejmeh SC5
Al-Mabarrah0
W
12.06.26PL
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ahed0
W
15.05.26PL
Nejmeh SC2
Al Hikma1
W
12.05.26PL
Nejmeh SC1
Jwayya1
D
21.02.26PL
Nejmeh SC4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah0
W
25.01.26PL
Nejmeh SC0
Al Ansar0
D
18.01.26CUP
Nejmeh SC1
Al Ansar0
W
27.12.25PL
Nejmeh SC3
Al Hikma0
W
08.11.25PL
Nejmeh SC0
Jwayya1
L
Tadamon (Away)
27.02.26PL
Jwayya1
Tadamon0
L
21.02.26PL
Al Ahed0
Tadamon0
D
13.02.26PL
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah1
Tadamon1
D
24.01.26PL
Safa2
Tadamon0
L
18.01.26CUP
Al Ahed3
Tadamon1
L
26.12.25PL
Al Ansar2
Tadamon0
L
07.12.25PL
Racing0
Tadamon1
W
08.11.25PL
Al-Mabarrah0
Tadamon3
W
02.11.25PL
Jwayya0
Tadamon0
D
05.10.25PL
Bourj FC3
Tadamon1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 25th June 2026, Nejmeh SC host Tadamon in Lebanon Premier League. We recommend Nejmeh SC to win as the standout selection.

Nejmeh SC arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 8 outings.

Tadamon are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 4D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Nejmeh SC, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Tadamon's 0, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: nejmeh sc to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Lebanon Premier League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at the host venue, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.17, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 1:30 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nejmeh SC vs Tadamon?
Our selection is 1 — Nejmeh SC to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Nejmeh SC's current form?
Nejmeh SC have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches.
How has Tadamon been performing recently?
Tadamon have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nejmeh SC lead with 6 wins versus Tadamon's 0, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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