PENDING
Result: 1 — Babrungas to win
DirectWinPredict Lithuania 1 Lyga Babrungas vs Kauno Zalgiris 2
B

Babrungas

Home Side
W W W D W
7W 2D 1L
VS
4:00 pm
Lithuania 1 Lyga
K
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Away Side
L L W W L
3W 0D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Babrungas to win — Wednesday, 24th June 2026
Best Odds 1.17
Confidence 67%
Implied Prob 85.5%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Babrungas to win
1.17
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No80% Babrungas Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
85.5%
Based on 1.17 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-18.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
6
Babrungas
1
Draws
1
Kauno Zalgiris 2
8
Meetings
75%
BTTS Rate
63%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Babrungas won 6 of the last 8 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Babrungas
Metric
Kauno Zalgiris 2
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.5
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.5
60%
Clean Sheet %
30%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate Comparison
70%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
B0
0-0 14.2%
0-1 6.4%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 21.3%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 2.2%
1-3 0.3%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
B2
2-0 16.0%
2-1 7.2%
2-2 1.6%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
B3
3-0 8.0%
3-1 3.6%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 3.0%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (21.3%) 2-0 (16.0%) 3-0 (8.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   K=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Babrungas Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Kauno Zalgiris 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Babrungas
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
8.7
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Overall
3.0
Scoring
1.7
Defence
5.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 51%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 45%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
18.10.25IL
Kauno Zalgiris 21
Babrungas2
12.06.25IL
Babrungas3
Kauno Zalgiris 21
09.08.24IL
Babrungas3
Kauno Zalgiris 21
16.03.24IL
Kauno Zalgiris 21
Babrungas2
31.08.23IL
Kauno Zalgiris 21
Babrungas1
14.04.23IL
Babrungas1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
07.08.21IL
Babrungas2
Kauno Zalgiris 23
09.04.21IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Babrungas2
Recent Form
Babrungas
19.06.26IL
Babrungas1
BE1 NFA0
W
12.06.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 20
Babrungas1
W
29.05.26IL
Babrungas1
FK Minija0
W
22.05.26IL
Jonava1
Babrungas1
D
15.05.26IL
Babrungas3
Zalgiris 20
W
09.05.26IL
Atmosfera1
Babrungas1
D
01.05.26IL
Babrungas4
BFA Vilnius0
W
28.04.26CUP
BFA Vilnius1
Babrungas0
L
24.04.26IL
Babrungas1
Garliava0
W
18.04.26IL
Tauras Taurage1
Babrungas2
W
Kauno Zalgiris 2
18.06.26IL
Neptunas2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
12.06.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Dainava Alytus2
L
30.05.26IL
Transinvest 20
Kauno Zalgiris 21
W
24.05.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 22
Siauliai 20
W
15.05.26IL
Garliava3
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
08.05.26IL
Ekranas1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
02.05.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BE1 NFA1
L
24.04.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 22
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
19.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
FK Minija4
L
12.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Zalgiris 21
L
Babrungas (Home)
19.06.26IL
Babrungas1
BE1 NFA0
W
29.05.26IL
Babrungas1
FK Minija0
W
15.05.26IL
Babrungas3
Zalgiris 20
W
01.05.26IL
Babrungas4
BFA Vilnius0
W
24.04.26IL
Babrungas1
Garliava0
W
04.04.26IL
Babrungas1
Neptunas0
W
22.03.26IL
Babrungas3
Dainava Alytus1
W
18.03.26IL
Babrungas3
Transinvest 20
W
09.11.25IL
Babrungas1
Siauliai 25
L
25.10.25IL
Babrungas4
Hegelmann Litauen 21
W
Kauno Zalgiris 2 (Away)
18.06.26IL
Neptunas2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
30.05.26IL
Transinvest 20
Kauno Zalgiris 21
W
15.05.26IL
Garliava3
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
08.05.26IL
Ekranas1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
24.04.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 22
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
04.04.26IL
Jonava3
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
18.03.26IL
Atmosfera2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
09.11.25IL
Nevezis Kedainiai4
Kauno Zalgiris 23
L
24.10.25IL
Neptunas3
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
20.09.25IL
Zalgiris 21
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 24th June 2026, Babrungas host Kauno Zalgiris 2 in Lithuania 1 Lyga. We recommend Babrungas to win as the standout selection.

Babrungas arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kauno Zalgiris 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Babrungas, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Kauno Zalgiris 2's 1, with 1 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 75% of those meetings.

Our verdict: babrungas to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Lithuania 1 Lyga preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at the host venue, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.17, which the numbers settle at around 60,20,20%. The whistle goes at 4:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Babrungas vs Kauno Zalgiris 2?
Our selection is 1 — Babrungas to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Babrungas's current form?
Babrungas have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kauno Zalgiris 2 been performing recently?
Kauno Zalgiris 2 have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Babrungas lead with 6 wins versus Kauno Zalgiris 2's 1, with 1 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
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