WON
Result: Poland 2-2 Nigeria
DirectWinPredict International Friendly Poland vs Nigeria
P

Poland

Home Side
L L W W D
5W 2D 3L
VS
2-2
International Friendly
N
Nigeria
Away Side
W W D W W
7W 1D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Wednesday, 3rd June 2026
Best Odds 1.29
Confidence 82%
Implied Prob 77.5%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals94%
Implied Prob
77.5%
Based on 1.29 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+4.5%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
19.9%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Poland
0
Draws
1
Nigeria
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
1
Avg Goals
Against Pick Over 1.5 in 0% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Poland
Metric
Nigeria
1.6
Goals For / Game
2.6
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0.8
20%
Clean Sheet %
50%
5-2-3
W — D — L
7-1-0
Win Rate Comparison
50%
88%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
P0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 8.4%
0-2 8.2%
0-3 5.3%
0-4 2.6%
0-5 1.0%
P1
1-0 5.1%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 6.4%
1-4 3.1%
1-5 1.2%
P2
2-0 3.1%
2-1 6.0%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.9%
2-5 0.7%
P3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 2.4%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
P4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
P5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (10.0%) 1-2 (9.8%) 0-1 (8.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · P=Home goals ↓   N=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Poland
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.7
Nigeria
Overall
9.1
Scoring
8.8
Defence
7.5
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
23.03.18FI
Poland0
Nigeria1
Recent Form
Poland
31.05.26FI
Poland0
Ukraine2
L
31.03.26WC
Sweden3
Poland2
L
26.03.26WC
Poland2
Albania1
W
17.11.25WC
Malta2
Poland3
W
14.11.25WC
Poland1
Netherlands1
D
12.10.25WC
Lithuania0
Poland2
W
09.10.25FI
Poland1
New Zealand0
W
07.09.25WC
Poland3
Finland1
W
04.09.25WC
Netherlands1
Poland1
D
10.06.25WC
Finland2
Poland1
L
Nigeria
30.05.26FI
Jamaica0
Nigeria3
W
26.05.26FI
Nigeria2
Zimbabwe0
W
31.03.26FI
Jordan2
Nigeria2
D
27.03.26FI
Iran1
Nigeria2
W
10.01.26ACN
Algeria0
Nigeria2
W
05.01.26ACN
Nigeria4
Mozambique0
W
30.12.25ACN
Uganda1
Nigeria3
W
27.12.25ACN
Nigeria3
Tunisia2
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this International Friendly game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 1.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.29 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Poland vs Nigeria?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 82%.
What is Poland's current form?
Poland have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Nigeria been performing recently?
Nigeria have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 8 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Poland lead with 0 wins versus Nigeria's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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