WON

Result: Juventude W 1-0 R4 EC W

Juventude W

Home Side

W L W W D

8W 1D 1L

1-0

Brasileiro A3 Women

R4 EC W

Away Side

L L L W W

3W 0D 7L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Juventude W to win — Saturday, 30th May 2026

Best Odds 1.20

Confidence 74%

Implied Prob 83.3%

60%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Juventude W to win

1.20

Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%

Implied Prob

83.3%

Based on 1.20 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-9.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Juventude W

Draws

R4 EC W

Meetings

100%

BTTS Rate

100%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Juventude W won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Juventude W

Metric

R4 EC W

2.6

Goals For / Game

0.8

Goals Against / Game

1.6

40%

Clean Sheet %

20%

8-1-1

W — D — L

3-0-7

Win Rate Comparison

80%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.0%

0-1 4.5%

0-2 2.0%

0-3 0.6%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 10.5%

1-1 9.4%

1-2 4.2%

1-3 1.3%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 11.0%

2-1 9.9%

2-2 4.5%

2-3 1.3%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 7.7%

3-1 6.9%

3-2 3.1%

3-3 0.9%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 4.0%

4-1 3.6%

4-2 1.6%

4-3 0.5%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.7%

5-1 1.5%

5-2 0.7%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-0 (11.0%) 1-0 (10.5%) 2-1 (9.9%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · J=Home goals ↓ R=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Juventude W Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

R4 EC W Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Juventude W

Overall

8.3 ▲

Scoring

8.7 ▲

Defence

7.3 ▲

R4 EC W

Overall

3.0 ▼

Scoring

3.3 ▼

Defence

4.7 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%

Home Win & BTTS No 35%

Draw & BTTS Yes 2%

Draw & BTTS No 2%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%

Away Win & BTTS No 13%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 46%

Home Win & Under 2.5 25%

Draw & Over 2.5 3%

Draw & Under 2.5 1%

Away Win & Over 2.5 17%

Away Win & Under 2.5 9%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

17.05.26BRA3

R4 EC W1

Juventude2

Recent Form

Juventude W

17.05.26BRA3

R4 EC W1

Juventude W2

14.05.26COP

Juventude W2

Vitoria W3

02.05.26BRA3

Juventude W5

Guarani de Paripueira W1

29.04.26COP

Cresspom W0

Juventude W1

25.04.26BRA3

Alagoinhas W1

Juventude W1

18.04.26BRA3

Prosperidade W0

Juventude W2

04.04.26BRA3

Juventude W3

Prosperidade W0

28.03.26BRA3

Juventude W3

Alagoinhas W1

22.03.26BRA3

Guarani de Paripueira W0

Juventude W4

06.12.25SER

Confianca W1

Juventude W3

R4 EC W

17.05.26BRA3

R4 EC W1

Juventude W2

02.05.26BRA3

Uniao RN W4

R4 EC W1

29.04.26COP

Criciuma W1

R4 EC W0

24.04.26BRA3

R4 EC W3

Mixto PB W1

17.04.26BRA3

R4 EC W3

Ipojuca W0

04.04.26BRA3

Ipojuca W1

R4 EC W0

31.03.26BRA3

Mixto PB W3

R4 EC W0

21.03.26BRA3

R4 EC W1

Uniao RN W0

14.11.25CEA

R4 EC W0

Ceara W2

08.11.25CEA

Ceara W2

R4 EC W1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Brasileiro A3 Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.20 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Juventude W vs R4 EC W?

Our selection is 1 — Juventude W to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 74%.

What is Juventude W's current form?

Juventude W have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has R4 EC W been performing recently?

R4 EC W have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Juventude W lead with 1 wins versus R4 EC W's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.

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