WON

Result: Ararat Armenia 1-0 FC Gandzasar

Ararat Armenia

Home Side

W L W W D

5W 2D 3L

1-0

Armenia Premier League

FC Gandzasar

Away Side

L L L L W

3W 1D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Ararat Armenia to win — Wednesday, 27th May 2026

Best Odds 1.09

Confidence 67%

Implied Prob 91.7%

60%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Ararat Armenia to win

1.09

Over 1.5 Goals80%

Implied Prob

91.7%

Based on 1.09 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-24.7%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Ararat Armenia

Draws

FC Gandzasar

Meetings

BTTS Rate

50%

Over 2.5

2.2

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Ararat Armenia won 6 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Ararat Armenia

Metric

FC Gandzasar

1.3

Goals For / Game

1.2

Goals Against / Game

2.1

50%

Clean Sheet %

10%

5-2-3

W — D — L

3-1-6

Win Rate Comparison

50%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.5%

0-1 6.6%

0-2 4.0%

0-3 1.6%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.4%

1-1 11.2%

1-2 6.7%

1-3 2.7%

1-4 0.8%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 8.0%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 5.7%

2-3 2.3%

2-4 0.7%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.5%

3-1 5.4%

3-2 3.2%

3-3 1.3%

3-4 0.4%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 1.9%

4-1 2.3%

4-2 1.4%

4-3 0.6%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.7%

5-1 0.8%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.5%) 1-0 (9.4%) 2-0 (8.0%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ F=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Ararat Armenia Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

FC Gandzasar Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Ararat Armenia

Overall

5.6 —

Scoring

4.3 —

Defence

6.0 —

FC Gandzasar

Overall

3.3 ▲

Scoring

4.0 ▲

Defence

3.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%

Home Win & BTTS No 32%

Draw & BTTS Yes 6%

Draw & BTTS No 10%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Away Win & BTTS No 19%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 27%

Home Win & Under 2.5 27%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 8%

Away Win & Over 2.5 16%

Away Win & Under 2.5 16%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

19.10.25PL

FC Gandzasar0

Ararat-Armenia1

05.10.25PL

Ararat-Armenia1

FC Gandzasar0

25.04.25PL

FC Gandzasar0

Ararat-Armenia4

21.11.24PL

Ararat-Armenia3

FC Gandzasar0

14.09.24PL

FC Gandzasar0

Ararat-Armenia3

24.11.23CUP

Ararat-Armenia1

FC Gandzasar0

Recent Form

Ararat Armenia

17.05.26PL

BKMA2

Ararat-Armenia3

10.05.26PL

Ararat-Armenia0

Noah4

06.05.26PL

Ararat-Armenia1

Pyunik Yerevan0

03.05.26PL

Urartu0

Ararat-Armenia2

29.04.26CUP

Noah0

Ararat-Armenia0

25.04.26PL

Ararat-Armenia4

Ararat Yerevan0

20.04.26PL

Shirak Gyumri0

Ararat-Armenia4

16.04.26CUP

Ararat-Armenia0

Noah1

11.04.26PL

Pyunik Yerevan0

Ararat-Armenia2

06.04.26PL

Ararat-Armenia1

Alashkert1

FC Gandzasar

18.05.26PL

FC Gandzasar0

Pyunik Yerevan2

09.05.26PL

Alashkert3

FC Gandzasar1

06.05.26PL

FC Gandzasar1

Noah4

02.05.26PL

FC Gandzasar0

Van1

26.04.26PL

FC Gandzasar3

Shirak Gyumri2

19.04.26PL

BKMA1

FC Gandzasar1

10.04.26PL

FC Gandzasar0

Noah3

05.04.26PL

Urartu4

FC Gandzasar2

21.03.26PL

FC Gandzasar2

Ararat Yerevan1

14.03.26PL

Ararat Yerevan0

FC Gandzasar2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Armenia Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.09 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Ararat Armenia vs FC Gandzasar?

Our selection is 1 — Ararat Armenia to win, priced at approximately 1.09. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

What is Ararat Armenia's current form?

Ararat Armenia have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has FC Gandzasar been performing recently?

FC Gandzasar have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Ararat Armenia lead with 6 wins versus FC Gandzasar's 0, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

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