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Result: Crystal Palace 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
DirectWinPredict Conference League Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano
C

Crystal Palace

Home Side
L D L D W
2W 3D 5L
VS
1-0
Conference League
R
Rayo Vallecano
Away Side
W W D D W
6W 3D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Wednesday, 27th May 2026
Best Odds 1.35
Confidence 86%
Implied Prob 74.1%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
74.1%
Based on 1.35 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+11.9%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
46%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Crystal Palace
Metric
Rayo Vallecano
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.9
Goals Against / Game
0.9
10%
Clean Sheet %
50%
2-3-5
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate Comparison
20%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
C0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 10.9%
0-2 9.2%
0-3 5.2%
0-4 2.2%
0-5 0.8%
C1
1-0 6.7%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.3%
1-5 0.8%
C2
2-0 3.5%
2-1 6.0%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
C3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 2.1%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (11.4%) 0-1 (10.9%) 1-2 (9.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Crystal Palace
Overall
2.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
3.7
Rayo Vallecano
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 7%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Crystal Palace
24.05.26PL
Crystal Palace1
Arsenal2
L
17.05.26PL
Brentford2
Crystal Palace2
D
13.05.26PL
Manchester City3
Crystal Palace0
L
10.05.26PL
Crystal Palace2
Everton2
D
07.05.26UECL
Crystal Palace2
Shakhtar Donetsk1
W
03.05.26PL
Bournemouth3
Crystal Palace0
L
30.04.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Crystal Palace3
W
25.04.26PL
Liverpool3
Crystal Palace1
L
20.04.26PL
Crystal Palace0
West Ham0
D
16.04.26UECL
Fiorentina2
Crystal Palace1
L
Rayo Vallecano
23.05.26LL
Alaves1
Rayo Vallecano2
W
17.05.26LL
Rayo Vallecano2
Villarreal0
W
14.05.26LL
Valencia1
Rayo Vallecano1
D
11.05.26LL
Rayo Vallecano1
Girona1
D
07.05.26UECL
Strasbourg0
Rayo Vallecano1
W
03.05.26LL
Getafe0
Rayo Vallecano2
W
30.04.26UECL
Rayo Vallecano1
Strasbourg0
W
26.04.26LL
Rayo Vallecano3
Real Sociedad3
D
23.04.26LL
Rayo Vallecano1
Espanyol0
W
16.04.26UECL
AEK Athens3
Rayo Vallecano1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Conference League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 1.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.35 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 86%.
What is Crystal Palace's current form?
Crystal Palace have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rayo Vallecano been performing recently?
Rayo Vallecano have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game.
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