WON
Result: Newells Old Boys 2 3-0 Atl Rafaela 2
DirectWinPredict Argentina Reserve League Newells Old Boys 2 vs Atl Rafaela 2
N

Newells Old Boys 2

Home Side
D W W W D
6W 2D 2L
VS
3-0
Argentina Reserve League
A
Atl Rafaela 2
Away Side
L W L L L
1W 1D 8L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Newells Old Boys 2 to win — Wednesday, 27th May 2026
Best Odds 1.37
Confidence 54%
Implied Prob 73%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Newells Old Boys 2 to win
1.37
Over 1.5 Goals80% Newells Old Boys 2 Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
73%
Based on 1.37 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-19%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Newells Old Boys 2
Metric
Atl Rafaela 2
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.9
60%
Clean Sheet %
10%
6-2-2
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate Comparison
60%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
N0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 12.0%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
N2
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
N3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.0%) 2-0 (10.2%) 2-1 (9.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Newells Old Boys 2 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Atl Rafaela 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Newells Old Boys 2
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.3
Atl Rafaela 2
Overall
1.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
3.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 43%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Newells Old Boys 2
20.05.26RL
Platense 21
Newells Old Boys 21
D
12.05.26RL
Newells Old Boys 22
Quilmes 20
W
07.05.26RL
Estudiantes L.P. 20
Newells Old Boys 22
W
28.04.26RL
Newells Old Boys 21
Central Cordoba 20
W
21.04.26RL
Rosario Central 23
Newells Old Boys 23
D
14.04.26RL
San Martin S.J. 22
Newells Old Boys 21
L
08.04.26RL
Newells Old Boys 22
Ind. Rivadavia 20
W
31.03.26RL
Deportivo Riestra 20
Newells Old Boys 21
W
25.03.26RL
Newells Old Boys 22
Belgrano 20
W
18.03.26RL
Lanus 22
Newells Old Boys 20
L
Atl Rafaela 2
20.05.26RL
Atl. Rafaela 22
Defensa y Justicia 24
L
12.05.26RL
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20
Atl. Rafaela 22
W
05.05.26RL
Atl. Rafaela 21
Huracan 22
L
29.04.26RL
Ferro 22
Atl. Rafaela 21
L
22.04.26RL
Atl. Rafaela 20
Sarmiento Junin 21
L
16.04.26RL
Atl. Rafaela 21
Boca Juniors 21
D
07.04.26RL
Independiente 23
Atl. Rafaela 22
L
31.03.26RL
Colon Santa Fe 23
Atl. Rafaela 21
L
26.03.26RL
Atl. Rafaela 20
Platense 21
L
17.03.26RL
Quilmes 22
Atl. Rafaela 21
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Argentina Reserve League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.37 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Newells Old Boys 2 vs Atl Rafaela 2?
Our selection is 1 — Newells Old Boys 2 to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Newells Old Boys 2's current form?
Newells Old Boys 2 have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Atl Rafaela 2 been performing recently?
Atl Rafaela 2 have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game.
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