WON
Result: Badalona W 0-4 Real Madrid W
DirectWinPredict La Liga F Women Badalona W vs Real Madrid W
B

Badalona W

Home Side
D L L L W
3W 2D 5L
VS
0-4
La Liga F Women
R
Real Madrid W
Away Side
W W D W L
5W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Real Madrid W to win — Tuesday, 26th May 2026
Best Odds 1.35
Confidence 63%
Implied Prob 74.1%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Real Madrid W to win
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
74.1%
Based on 1.35 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-11.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Badalona W
0
Draws
7
Real Madrid W
7
Meetings
57%
BTTS Rate
86%
Over 2.5
3.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Real Madrid W won 7 of 7 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Badalona W
Metric
Real Madrid W
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.3
2.5
Goals Against / Game
1.7
10%
Clean Sheet %
50%
3-2-5
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
30%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
B0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 5.5%
0-3 3.5%
0-4 1.6%
0-5 0.6%
B1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.6%
1-5 1.0%
B2
2-0 3.9%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
B3
3-0 2.1%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
B4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
B5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (8.7%) 0-1 (5.7%) 1-3 (5.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Badalona W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Real Madrid W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Badalona W
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
1.7
Real Madrid W
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
04.10.25LF
Real Madrid W3
Badalona0
16.02.25LF
Real Madrid W3
Badalona2
09.11.24LF
Badalona W1
Real Madrid3
28.04.24LF
Real Madrid W2
Badalona1
17.12.23LF
Badalona W0
Real Madrid2
31.03.23LF
Real Madrid W3
Badalona0
03.12.22LF
Badalona W1
Real Madrid4
Recent Form
Badalona W
09.05.26LF
Espanyol W1
Badalona W1
D
02.05.26LF
Badalona W0
Athletic Bilbao W1
L
25.04.26LF
Badalona W2
Atl. Madrid W4
L
06.04.26LF
Barcelona W6
Badalona W0
L
28.03.26LF
Badalona W3
Alhama W2
W
22.03.26LF
Sevilla FC W1
Badalona W5
W
18.03.26CDR
Barcelona W4
Badalona W1
L
15.03.26LF
Badalona W0
Granada CF W4
L
12.03.26CDR
Badalona W0
Barcelona W0
D
21.02.26LF
DUX Logrono W2
Badalona W3
W
Real Madrid W
10.05.26LF
Real Madrid W1
Atl. Madrid W0
W
02.05.26LF
Sevilla FC W0
Real Madrid W2
W
26.04.26LF
Real Madrid W1
DUX Logrono W1
D
05.04.26LF
Madrid C. W0
Real Madrid W2
W
02.04.26CL
Barcelona W6
Real Madrid W0
L
29.03.26LF
Real Madrid W0
Barcelona W3
L
25.03.26CL
Real Madrid W2
Barcelona W6
L
22.03.26LF
Eibar W0
Real Madrid W1
W
14.03.26LF
Real Sociedad W0
Real Madrid W3
W
22.02.26LF
Real Madrid W2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this La Liga F Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.35 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Badalona W vs Real Madrid W?
Our selection is 2 — Real Madrid W to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Badalona W's current form?
Badalona W have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Real Madrid W been performing recently?
Real Madrid W have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Badalona W lead with 0 wins versus Real Madrid W's 7, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 57%.
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