WON
Result: RFS 3-1 Tukums 2000
DirectWinPredict โ€บ Latvia Virsligaโ€บ RFS vs Tukums 2000
R

RFS

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L
VS
3-1
Latvia Virsliga
T
Tukums 2000
Away Side
L D D W W
2W 5D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing RFS to win โ€” Monday, 25th May 2026
Best Odds 1.13
Confidence 78%
Implied Prob 88.5%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
โšก Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ€” RFS to win
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85% RFS Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
88.5%
Based on 1.13 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-10.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
โš” Head to Head Record
10
RFS
0
Draws
0
Tukums 2000
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
5.1
Avg Goals
Supports Pick RFS won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
๐Ÿ“Š Key Stats Duel Comparison
RFS
Metric
Tukums 2000
2.6
Goals For / Game
2.4
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.8
70%
Clean Sheet %
10%
9-1-0
W โ€” D โ€” L
2-5-3
Win Rate Comparison
90%
20%
๐ŸŽฏ Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
R0
0-0 2.4%
0-1 3.7%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
R1
1-0 5.2%
1-1 8.0%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
R2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.4%
R3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 5.0%
3-3 2.6%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
R4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 2.8%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
R5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.8%) 3-1 (6.5%) 2-0 (5.7%)
โ–  Most likely (tip) โ–  Possible (tip) โ–  Low (tip)  ยท  โ–  Contradicts tip Poisson model ยท R=Home goals โ†“   T=Away goals โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰ Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
RFS Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Tukums 2000 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ Team Ratings Grades
RFS
Overall
9.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
8.7 โ–ผ
Defence
7.7 โ–ผ
Tukums 2000
Overall
3.5 โ–ผ
Scoring
8.0 โ–ผ
Defence
4.0 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€ Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 45%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
๐Ÿงฎ Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake Amount
โ€”
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
๐Ÿ“œ Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
13.04.26VIR
Tukums 20001
RFS2
19.10.25VIR
Tukums 20002
RFS4
26.07.25VIR
RFS6
Tukums 20002
25.05.25VIR
Tukums 20002
RFS5
09.04.25VIR
RFS2
Tukums 20000
20.10.24VIR
RFS4
Tukums 20001
27.07.24VIR
Tukums 20001
RFS4
25.05.24VIR
Tukums 20000
RFS1
12.04.24VIR
RFS5
Tukums 20000
21.10.23VIR
Tukums 20004
RFS5
Recent Form
RFS
21.05.26VIR
RFS4
Jelgava0
W
17.05.26VIR
Auda0
RFS3
W
13.05.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils0
RFS1
W
08.05.26VIR
RFS5
FK Liepaja0
W
02.05.26VIR
Ogre United3
RFS4
W
28.04.26VIR
RFS3
Riga FC3
D
22.04.26VIR
Grobina0
RFS1
W
18.04.26VIR
RFS2
Super Nova0
W
13.04.26VIR
Tukums 20001
RFS2
W
08.04.26VIR
Jelgava0
RFS1
W
Tukums 2000
20.05.26VIR
Tukums 20001
Riga FC3
L
15.05.26VIR
Grobina3
Tukums 20003
D
11.05.26VIR
Super Nova1
Tukums 20001
D
07.05.26VIR
Tukums 20006
Ogre United1
W
01.05.26VIR
Tukums 20005
Jelgava0
W
26.04.26VIR
Auda2
Tukums 20001
L
21.04.26VIR
Tukums 20001
BFC Daugavpils1
D
17.04.26VIR
Tukums 20002
FK Liepaja2
D
13.04.26VIR
Tukums 20001
RFS2
L
09.04.26VIR
Riga FC3
Tukums 20003
D
๐Ÿ“ Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Latvia Virsliga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.13 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

โ“ Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for RFS vs Tukums 2000?
Our selection is 1 โ€” RFS to win, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 78%.
What is RFS's current form?
RFS have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tukums 2000 been performing recently?
Tukums 2000 have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
RFS lead with 10 wins versus Tukums 2000's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.