LOST

Result: ML Vitebsk 0-0 FC Gomel

ML Vitebsk

Home Side

W W W L D

6W 2D 2L

0-0

Belarus Vysshaya Liga

FC Gomel

Away Side

L W D W W

5W 2D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing ML Vitebsk to win — Friday, 22nd May 2026

Best Odds 1.34

Confidence 62%

Implied Prob 74.6%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — ML Vitebsk to win

1.34

Over 1.5 Goals90%

Implied Prob

74.6%

Based on 1.34 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-12.6%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

ML Vitebsk

Draws

FC Gomel

Meetings

33%

BTTS Rate

67%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick ML Vitebsk won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

ML Vitebsk

Metric

FC Gomel

2.2

Goals For / Game

1.6

Goals Against / Game

1.2

30%

Clean Sheet %

30%

6-2-2

W — D — L

5-2-3

Win Rate Comparison

60%

50%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.0%

0-1 6.5%

0-2 4.2%

0-3 1.8%

0-4 0.6%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 8.5%

1-1 11.0%

1-2 7.2%

1-3 3.1%

1-4 1.0%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 7.2%

2-1 9.4%

2-2 6.1%

2-3 2.6%

2-4 0.9%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.1%

3-1 5.3%

3-2 3.4%

3-3 1.5%

3-4 0.5%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 1.7%

4-1 2.3%

4-2 1.5%

4-3 0.6%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.6%

5-1 0.8%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.4%) 1-0 (8.5%) 2-0 (7.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓ F=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

ML Vitebsk Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

FC Gomel Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

ML Vitebsk

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

7.3 —

Defence

6.7 —

FC Gomel

Overall

5.6 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

6.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%

Home Win & BTTS No 21%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%

Away Win & BTTS No 18%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 23%

Home Win & Under 2.5 23%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 8%

Away Win & Over 2.5 20%

Away Win & Under 2.5 20%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

23.11.25VL

ML Vitebsk5

FC Gomel0

28.06.25VL

FC Gomel0

ML Vitebsk2

15.02.25CF

FC Gomel2

ML Vitebsk3

Recent Form

ML Vitebsk

17.05.26VL

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0

ML Vitebsk3

10.05.26VL

ML Vitebsk5

Dnepr Mogilev1

03.05.26VL

Din. Minsk2

ML Vitebsk3

29.04.26CUP

Din. Minsk1

ML Vitebsk0

25.04.26VL

ML Vitebsk0

Dynamo Brest0

19.04.26VL

BATE1

ML Vitebsk2

15.04.26CUP

ML Vitebsk0

Din. Minsk2

11.04.26VL

Baranovici0

ML Vitebsk4

04.04.26VL

ML Vitebsk1

Isloch1

28.03.26CF

ML Vitebsk4

Smorgon2

FC Gomel

14.05.26VL

FC Gomel2

Baranovici3

08.05.26VL

FC Gomel2

Isloch0

02.05.26VL

FC Gomel1

Zhodino1

26.04.26VL

Belshina0

FC Gomel2

19.04.26VL

FC Gomel3

Slavia Mozyr1

10.04.26VL

Naftan0

FC Gomel2

05.04.26VL

FC Minsk2

FC Gomel0

20.03.26VL

Vitebsk1

FC Gomel1

13.03.26CF

FC Gomel3

BumProm Gomel1

07.03.26CF

FC Gomel2

Iskra Smolensk1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Belarus Vysshaya Liga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.34 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for ML Vitebsk vs FC Gomel?

Our selection is 1 — ML Vitebsk to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 62%.

What is ML Vitebsk's current form?

ML Vitebsk have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has FC Gomel been performing recently?

FC Gomel have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

ML Vitebsk lead with 3 wins versus FC Gomel's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.

🔗 More Tips Today Related