WON

Result: Leuven W 3-2 Liege W

Leuven W

Home Side

W D D W D

6W 3D 1L

3-2

Belgium Women Super League

Liege W

Away Side

D L D L D

2W 3D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Leuven W to win — Friday, 22nd May 2026

Best Odds 1.38

Confidence 53%

Implied Prob 72.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Leuven W to win

1.38

Over 1.5 Goals90%

Implied Prob

72.5%

Based on 1.38 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-19.5%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Leuven W

Draws

Liege W

Meetings

70%

BTTS Rate

70%

Over 2.5

2.7

Avg Goals

Neutral Data Leuven W won 5 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Leuven W

Metric

Liege W

1.5

Goals For / Game

0.9

Goals Against / Game

1.5

30%

Clean Sheet %

20%

6-3-1

W — D — L

2-3-5

Win Rate Comparison

60%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 8.6%

0-1 8.2%

0-2 3.9%

0-3 1.2%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 12.9%

1-1 12.3%

1-2 5.8%

1-3 1.9%

1-4 0.4%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.7%

2-1 9.2%

2-2 4.4%

2-3 1.4%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 4.9%

3-1 4.6%

3-2 2.2%

3-3 0.7%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.8%

4-1 1.7%

4-2 0.8%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.6%

5-1 0.5%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.9%) 2-0 (9.7%) 2-1 (9.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓ L=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Leuven W Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Liege W Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Leuven W

Overall

6.9 ▲

Scoring

5.0 ▲

Defence

7.0 ▲

Liege W

Overall

2.9 ▲

Scoring

3.3 ▲

Defence

5.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%

Home Win & BTTS No 22%

Draw & BTTS Yes 16%

Draw & BTTS No 11%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%

Away Win & BTTS No 7%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 25%

Home Win & Under 2.5 30%

Draw & Over 2.5 12%

Draw & Under 2.5 15%

Away Win & Over 2.5 8%

Away Win & Under 2.5 10%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

04.04.26SL

St. Liege W1

Leuven1

21.02.26SL

St. Liege W1

Leuven2

20.12.25SL

Leuven W2

St. Liege1

03.10.25SL

St. Liege W1

Leuven3

10.05.25SL

St. Liege W1

Leuven0

12.04.25SL

Leuven W0

St. Liege3

29.03.25SL

Leuven W0

St. Liege0

15.02.25CUP

St. Liege W4

Leuven1

14.12.24SL

St. Liege W1

Leuven2

07.09.24SL

Leuven W2

St. Liege1

Recent Form

Leuven W

16.05.26SL

Club Brugge W0

Leuven W2

09.05.26SL

Leuven W1

RSC Anderlecht W1

02.05.26SL

RSC Anderlecht W1

Leuven W1

25.04.26SL

Leuven W2

Club Brugge W1

04.04.26SL

St. Liege W1

Leuven W1

21.03.26SL

RSC Anderlecht W0

Leuven W1

17.03.26SL

Leuven W2

Westerlo W0

14.03.26SL

Leuven W2

Club Brugge W1

21.02.26SL

St. Liege W1

Leuven W2

18.02.26CL

Arsenal W3

Leuven W1

Liege W

17.05.26SL

St. Liege W1

RSC Anderlecht W1

09.05.26SL

Club Brugge W2

St. Liege W1

02.05.26SL

St. Liege W2

Club Brugge W2

25.04.26SL

RSC Anderlecht W2

St. Liege W0

04.04.26SL

St. Liege W1

Leuven W1

21.03.26SL

Club Brugge W0

St. Liege W3

14.03.26SL

St. Liege W1

Waregem W0

21.02.26SL

St. Liege W1

Leuven W2

18.02.26SL

St. Liege W0

Genk W2

14.02.26SL

RSC Anderlecht W3

St. Liege W0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Belgium Women Super League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Leuven W vs Liege W?

Our selection is 1 — Leuven W to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 53%.

What is Leuven W's current form?

Leuven W have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Liege W been performing recently?

Liege W have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Leuven W lead with 5 wins versus Liege W's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.

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