WON
Result: Maccabi Haifa 4-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
DirectWinPredict Israel Ligat Ha'al Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
M

Maccabi Haifa

Home Side
D L W L W
4W 1D 5L
VS
4-1
Israel Ligat Ha'al
H
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Away Side
L W D L L
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Tuesday, 19th May 2026
Best Odds 1.19
Confidence 79%
Implied Prob 84%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.19
BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
84%
Based on 1.19 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
6
Maccabi Haifa
2
Draws
2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
10
Meetings
20%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Maccabi Haifa
Metric
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.8
Goals Against / Game
0.8
10%
Clean Sheet %
40%
4-1-5
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
40%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
M0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 11.2%
0-2 7.3%
0-3 3.2%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
M1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 8.4%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
M2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 7.4%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
M3
3-0 2.2%
3-1 2.8%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (12.9%) 0-1 (11.2%) 1-0 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓   H=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Maccabi Haifa
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Overall
3.6
Scoring
2.7
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
29.04.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Maccabi Haifa0
06.04.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Maccabi Haifa0
02.12.25LH
Maccabi Haifa2
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
17.03.24LH
Maccabi Haifa0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
31.12.23LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Maccabi Haifa0
13.03.23LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Maccabi Haifa1
13.11.22LH
Maccabi Haifa5
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
02.05.22LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Maccabi Haifa2
19.03.22LH
Maccabi Haifa3
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
21.02.22LH
Maccabi Haifa2
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Recent Form
Maccabi Haifa
16.05.26LH
Maccabi Haifa1
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
D
13.05.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa0
L
09.05.26LH
Maccabi Haifa3
Beitar Jerusalem0
W
06.05.26LH
Maccabi Haifa0
H. Beer Sheva1
L
02.05.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Maccabi Haifa2
W
29.04.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Maccabi Haifa0
L
25.04.26LH
Maccabi Haifa1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
L
19.04.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem3
Maccabi Haifa0
L
15.04.26SC
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa2
L
12.04.26LH
Maccabi Haifa4
Kiryat Shmona1
W
Hapoel Tel Aviv
15.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
H. Beer Sheva2
L
12.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
W
09.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
D
06.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Beitar Jerusalem1
L
02.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
L
29.04.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Maccabi Haifa0
W
25.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
W
19.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
L
11.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
D
06.04.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Maccabi Haifa0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Israel Ligat Ha’al game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 1.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.19 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Maccabi Haifa's current form?
Maccabi Haifa have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hapoel Tel Aviv been performing recently?
Hapoel Tel Aviv have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Maccabi Haifa lead with 6 wins versus Hapoel Tel Aviv's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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