WON
Result: Noah 8-3 Ararat Yerevan
DirectWinPredict Armenia Premier League Noah vs Ararat Yerevan
N

Noah

Home Side
W W W D D
7W 3D 0L
VS
8-3
Armenia Premier League
A
Ararat Yerevan
Away Side
L W L W L
3W 0D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Noah to win — Tuesday, 19th May 2026
Best Odds 1.11
Confidence 68%
Implied Prob 90.1%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Noah to win
1.11
BTTS — No65% Noah Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
90.1%
Based on 1.11 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-22.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
8
Noah
0
Draws
2
Ararat Yerevan
10
Meetings
20%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.9
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Noah won 8 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Noah
Metric
Ararat Yerevan
2.1
Goals For / Game
1
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.8
70%
Clean Sheet %
10%
7-3-0
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate Comparison
70%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
N0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 1.7%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 13.8%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 3.4%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 13.4%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 8.7%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 4.3%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (13.8%) 2-0 (13.4%) 2-1 (9.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Noah Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Ararat Yerevan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Noah
Overall
7.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
8.7
Ararat Yerevan
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
27.10.25PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Noah3
28.09.25PL
Noah2
Ararat Yerevan0
26.04.25PL
Noah3
Ararat Yerevan0
20.11.24PL
Noah4
Ararat Yerevan0
15.09.24PL
Ararat Yerevan2
Noah1
09.05.24PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Noah1
07.03.24PL
Noah4
Ararat Yerevan3
03.11.23PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Noah2
31.08.23PL
Noah3
Ararat Yerevan0
20.05.23PL
Ararat Yerevan1
Noah0
Recent Form
Noah
14.05.26CUP
Urartu2
Noah4
W
10.05.26PL
Ararat-Armenia0
Noah4
W
06.05.26PL
FC Gandzasar1
Noah4
W
03.05.26PL
Noah0
Pyunik Yerevan0
D
29.04.26CUP
Noah0
Ararat-Armenia0
D
25.04.26PL
Alashkert1
Noah1
D
20.04.26PL
Noah2
Van0
W
16.04.26CUP
Ararat-Armenia0
Noah1
W
10.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Noah3
W
05.04.26PL
Noah2
BKMA0
W
Ararat Yerevan
10.05.26PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Urartu1
L
01.05.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat Yerevan2
W
25.04.26PL
Ararat-Armenia4
Ararat Yerevan0
L
18.04.26PL
Ararat Yerevan1
Pyunik Yerevan0
W
14.04.26PL
Alashkert2
Ararat Yerevan0
L
11.04.26PL
Ararat Yerevan2
Alashkert3
L
04.04.26PL
Ararat Yerevan1
Van2
L
01.04.26CUP
Urartu2
Ararat Yerevan3
W
21.03.26PL
FC Gandzasar2
Ararat Yerevan1
L
14.03.26PL
Ararat Yerevan0
FC Gandzasar2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Armenia Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.11 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Noah vs Ararat Yerevan?
Our selection is 1 — Noah to win, priced at approximately 1.11. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Noah's current form?
Noah have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ararat Yerevan been performing recently?
Ararat Yerevan have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Noah lead with 8 wins versus Ararat Yerevan's 2, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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