LOST

Result: Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 Siauliai

Kauno Zalgiris

Home Side

D D D W W

5W 4D 1L

0-0

Lithuania TopLyga

Siauliai

Away Side

D L W W L

3W 3D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Kauno Zalgiris to win — Saturday, 16th May 2026

Best Odds 1.23

Confidence 55%

Implied Prob 81.3%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win

1.23

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%

Implied Prob

81.3%

Based on 1.23 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-26.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Kauno Zalgiris

Draws

Siauliai

Meetings

70%

BTTS Rate

90%

Over 2.5

3.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Kauno Zalgiris won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Kauno Zalgiris

Metric

Siauliai

2.7

Goals For / Game

1.2

0.8

Goals Against / Game

1.7

50%

Clean Sheet %

20%

5-4-1

W — D — L

3-3-4

Win Rate Comparison

50%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 4.1%

0-1 4.1%

0-2 2.0%

0-3 0.7%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 9.0%

1-1 9.0%

1-2 4.5%

1-3 1.5%

1-4 0.4%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.9%

2-1 9.9%

2-2 4.9%

2-3 1.6%

2-4 0.4%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 7.2%

3-1 7.2%

3-2 3.6%

3-3 1.2%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 4.0%

4-1 4.0%

4-2 2.0%

4-3 0.7%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.8%

5-1 1.8%

5-2 0.9%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-0 (9.9%) 2-1 (9.9%) 1-0 (9.0%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓ S=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Kauno Zalgiris Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Siauliai Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Kauno Zalgiris

Overall

6.2 ▲

Scoring

9.0 ▲

Defence

7.3 ▲

Siauliai

Overall

3.9 ▼

Scoring

4.0 ▼

Defence

4.3 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%

Home Win & BTTS No 22%

Draw & BTTS Yes 15%

Draw & BTTS No 15%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Away Win & BTTS No 14%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 30%

Home Win & Under 2.5 13%

Draw & Over 2.5 21%

Draw & Under 2.5 9%

Away Win & Over 2.5 19%

Away Win & Under 2.5 8%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

15.03.26TL

FA Siauliai0

Kauno Zalgiris5

17.10.25TL

Kauno Zalgiris3

FA Siauliai1

20.08.25TL

FA Siauliai2

Kauno Zalgiris2

23.05.25TL

Kauno Zalgiris3

FA Siauliai0

29.03.25TL

FA Siauliai2

Kauno Zalgiris3

15.09.24TL

Kauno Zalgiris2

FA Siauliai1

21.08.24CUP

Kauno Zalgiris3

FA Siauliai1

01.07.24TL

FA Siauliai1

Kauno Zalgiris0

12.05.24TL

Kauno Zalgiris2

FA Siauliai1

17.03.24TL

FA Siauliai2

Kauno Zalgiris1

Recent Form

Kauno Zalgiris

10.05.26TL

FK Panevezys1

Kauno Zalgiris1

05.05.26TL

Kauno Zalgiris2

Dziugas Telsiai2

01.05.26TL

Banga2

Kauno Zalgiris2

28.04.26CUP

Sveikata0

Kauno Zalgiris3

25.04.26TL

Kauno Zalgiris4

Riteriai0

18.04.26TL

Kauno Zalgiris1

Transinvest2

11.04.26TL

Kauno Zalgiris5

Hegelmann0

05.04.26TL

Zalgiris0

Kauno Zalgiris3

21.03.26TL

Kauno Zalgiris1

Suduva1

15.03.26TL

FA Siauliai0

Kauno Zalgiris5

Siauliai

09.05.26TL

Hegelmann1

FA Siauliai1

06.05.26TL

Zalgiris3

FA Siauliai1

02.05.26TL

FA Siauliai2

Suduva1

29.04.26CUP

Jonava0

FA Siauliai4

26.04.26TL

FA Siauliai0

Transinvest4

18.04.26TL

FA Siauliai3

FK Panevezys1

12.04.26TL

Dziugas Telsiai1

FA Siauliai0

04.04.26TL

FA Siauliai0

Banga0

20.03.26TL

Riteriai1

FA Siauliai1

15.03.26TL

FA Siauliai0

Kauno Zalgiris5

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Lithuania TopLyga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.23 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Kauno Zalgiris vs Siauliai?

Our selection is 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 55%.

What is Kauno Zalgiris's current form?

Kauno Zalgiris have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Siauliai been performing recently?

Siauliai have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Kauno Zalgiris lead with 7 wins versus Siauliai's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.

🔗 More Tips Today Related