WON
Result: Al Hilal 2-0 Neom SC
DirectWinPredict Saudi Professional League Al Hilal vs Neom SC
A

Al Hilal

Home Side
D W W W W
7W 2D 1L
VS
2-0
Saudi Professional League
N
Neom SC
Away Side
W D D L W
3W 4D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Al Hilal to win — Saturday, 16th May 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 70%
Implied Prob 84.7%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Hilal to win
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
84.7%
Based on 1.18 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-14.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Al Hilal
0
Draws
0
Neom SC
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Al Hilal won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Hilal
Metric
Neom SC
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.5
1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheet %
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate Comparison
70%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
A0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 5.4%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 7.7%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.7%) 1-0 (8.1%) 2-0 (7.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   N=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Al Hilal Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Neom SC Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Hilal
Overall
7.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.7
Neom SC
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
18.01.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Hilal2
Recent Form
Al Hilal
12.05.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Al Hilal1
D
08.05.26KC
Al Kholood1
Al Hilal2
W
05.05.26SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal2
W
02.05.26SPL
Al Hazem0
Al Hilal3
W
28.04.26SPL
Al Hilal1
Damac0
W
13.04.26CL
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
L
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
W
04.04.26SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
D
18.03.26KC
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
W
Neom SC
11.05.26SPL
Neom SC2
Al Shabab1
W
02.05.26SPL
Al Fateh2
Neom SC2
D
28.04.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Hazem1
D
11.04.26SPL
Al Najma2
Neom SC1
L
08.04.26SPL
Al Ittihad3
Neom SC4
W
04.04.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Fayha0
W
12.03.26SPL
Neom SC2
Al Taawon2
D
07.03.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Neom SC0
L
28.02.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Kholood2
L
25.02.26SPL
Al Fayha1
Neom SC1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Saudi Professional League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.18 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Hilal vs Neom SC?
Our selection is 1 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Al Hilal's current form?
Al Hilal have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Neom SC been performing recently?
Neom SC have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Hilal lead with 1 wins versus Neom SC's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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