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Result: Al Nassr 0-1 Gamba Osaka
DirectWinPredict AFC Champions League 2 Al Nassr vs Gamba Osaka
A

Al Nassr

Home Side
D W L W W
8W 1D 1L
VS
0-1
AFC Champions League 2
G
Gamba Osaka
Away Side
L L W L W
5W 0D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing Al Nassr to win or draw — Saturday, 16th May 2026
Best Odds 1.10
Confidence 90%
Implied Prob 90.9%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Al Nassr to win or draw
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
90.9%
Based on 1.10 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-0.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Nassr
Metric
Gamba Osaka
3
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.1
50%
Clean Sheet %
30%
8-1-1
W — D — L
5-0-5
Win Rate Comparison
80%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
A0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 4.6%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 3.4%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.6%) 1-1 (9.4%) 2-0 (7.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   G=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Nassr
Overall
8.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.0
Gamba Osaka
Overall
5.0
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 24%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Al Nassr
12.05.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Al Hilal1
D
07.05.26SPL
Al Shabab2
Al Nassr4
W
03.05.26SPL
Al Qadsiah3
Al Nassr1
L
29.04.26SPL
Al Nassr2
Al Ahli SC0
W
22.04.26CL2
Al Nassr5
Al Ahli Doha1
W
19.04.26CL2
Al Wasl0
Al Nassr4
W
15.04.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Al Ettifaq0
W
11.04.26SPL
Al Okhdood0
Al Nassr2
W
03.04.26SPL
Al Nassr5
Al Najma2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Nassr5
W
Gamba Osaka
10.05.26J1
Gamba Osaka0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
L
06.05.26J1
Nagoya Grampus2
Gamba Osaka1
L
02.05.26J1
Gamba Osaka5
Vissel Kobe0
W
29.04.26J1
Kyoto2
Gamba Osaka1
L
25.04.26J1
V-Varen Nagasaki1
Gamba Osaka2
W
22.04.26J1
Gamba Osaka1
Avispa Fukuoka2
L
19.04.26J1
Gamba Osaka3
Okayama2
W
15.04.26CL2
Bangkok Utd0
Gamba Osaka3
W
11.04.26J1
Gamba Osaka0
Cerezo Osaka1
L
08.04.26CL2
Gamba Osaka0
Bangkok Utd1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this AFC Champions League 2 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1X, and it looks even better when you see the @1.10 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Nassr vs Gamba Osaka?
Our selection is 1X — Al Nassr to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.10. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Al Nassr's current form?
Al Nassr have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gamba Osaka been performing recently?
Gamba Osaka have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game.
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