WON

Result: Bayern Munich 5-1 FC Koln

Bayern Munich

Home Side

W D D L W

7W 2D 1L

5-1

Bundesliga

FC Koln

Away Side

L D L D W

1W 5D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Bayern Munich to win — Saturday, 16th May 2026

Best Odds 1.19

Confidence 68%

Implied Prob 84%

60%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Bayern Munich to win

1.19

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes80%

Implied Prob

84%

Based on 1.19 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-16%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Bayern Munich

Draws

FC Koln

Meetings

70%

BTTS Rate

70%

Over 2.5

3.7

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Bayern Munich won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Bayern Munich

Metric

FC Koln

Goals For / Game

1.5

1.8

Goals Against / Game

1.9

30%

Clean Sheet %

7-2-1

W — D — L

1-5-4

Win Rate Comparison

70%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 1.7%

0-1 2.7%

0-2 2.3%

0-3 1.2%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 4.1%

1-1 6.7%

1-2 5.5%

1-3 3.0%

1-4 1.3%

1-5 0.4%

2-0 5.0%

2-1 8.2%

2-2 6.8%

2-3 3.7%

2-4 1.5%

2-5 0.5%

3-0 4.1%

3-1 6.7%

3-2 5.5%

3-3 3.0%

3-4 1.3%

3-5 0.4%

4-0 2.5%

4-1 4.1%

4-2 3.4%

4-3 1.9%

4-4 0.8%

4-5 0.3%

5-0 1.2%

5-1 2.0%

5-2 1.7%

5-3 0.9%

5-4 0.4%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.2%) 3-1 (6.7%) 3-2 (5.5%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ F=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Bayern Munich Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

FC Koln Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Bayern Munich

Overall

7.6 ▲

Scoring

10.0 ▲

Defence

4.0 ▲

FC Koln

Overall

2.5 ▼

Scoring

5.0 ▼

Defence

3.7 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 49%

Home Win & BTTS No 12%

Draw & BTTS Yes 24%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%

Away Win & BTTS No 2%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 43%

Home Win & Under 2.5 18%

Draw & Over 2.5 21%

Draw & Under 2.5 9%

Away Win & Over 2.5 6%

Away Win & Under 2.5 3%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

14.01.26BUN

FC Koln1

Bayern Munich3

29.10.25POK

FC Koln1

Bayern Munich4

13.04.24BUN

Bayern Munich2

FC Koln0

24.11.23BUN

FC Koln0

Bayern Munich1

27.05.23BUN

FC Koln1

Bayern Munich2

24.01.23BUN

Bayern Munich1

FC Koln1

15.01.22BUN

FC Koln0

Bayern Munich4

22.08.21BUN

Bayern Munich3

FC Koln2

17.07.21CF

FC Koln3

Bayern Munich2

27.02.21BUN

Bayern Munich5

FC Koln1

Recent Form

Bayern Munich

09.05.26BUN

Wolfsburg0

Bayern Munich1

06.05.26CL

Bayern Munich1

PSG1

02.05.26BUN

Bayern Munich3

Heidenheim3

28.04.26CL

PSG5

Bayern Munich4

25.04.26BUN

Mainz3

Bayern Munich4

22.04.26POK

Bayer Leverkusen0

Bayern Munich2

19.04.26BUN

Bayern Munich4

Stuttgart2

15.04.26CL

Bayern Munich4

Real Madrid3

11.04.26BUN

St. Pauli0

Bayern Munich5

07.04.26CL

Real Madrid1

Bayern Munich2

FC Koln

10.05.26BUN

FC Koln1

Heidenheim3

02.05.26BUN

Union Berlin2

FC Koln2

25.04.26BUN

FC Koln1

Bayer Leverkusen2

17.04.26BUN

St. Pauli1

FC Koln1

12.04.26BUN

FC Koln3

Werder Bremen1

05.04.26BUN

Eintracht Frankfurt2

FC Koln2

21.03.26BUN

FC Koln3

B. Monchengladbach3

14.03.26BUN

Hamburger SV1

FC Koln1

07.03.26BUN

FC Koln1

Dortmund2

27.02.26BUN

Augsburg2

FC Koln0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Bundesliga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.19 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Bayern Munich vs FC Koln?

Our selection is 1 — Bayern Munich to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

What is Bayern Munich's current form?

Bayern Munich have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has FC Koln been performing recently?

FC Koln have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Bayern Munich lead with 8 wins versus FC Koln's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.

🔗 More Tips Today Related