WON

Result: Al Wasl 2-1 Ittihad Kalba

Al Wasl

Home Side

W W W L W

5W 1D 4L

2-1

UAE League

Ittihad Kalba

Away Side

L D L D D

1W 5D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Al Wasl to win — Friday, 15th May 2026

Best Odds 1.34

Confidence 47%

Implied Prob 74.6%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Al Wasl to win

1.34

Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes75%

Implied Prob

74.6%

Based on 1.34 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-27.6%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Al Wasl

Draws

Ittihad Kalba

Meetings

90%

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

3.4

Avg Goals

Against Pick Al Wasl won 4 of the last 10 meetings (6 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Al Wasl

Metric

Ittihad Kalba

1.7

Goals For / Game

1.3

1.7

Goals Against / Game

1.9

10%

Clean Sheet %

10%

5-1-4

W — D — L

1-5-4

Win Rate Comparison

50%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 3.7%

0-1 5.5%

0-2 4.2%

0-3 2.1%

0-4 0.8%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 6.6%

1-1 10.0%

1-2 7.5%

1-3 3.7%

1-4 1.4%

1-5 0.4%

2-0 6.0%

2-1 9.0%

2-2 6.7%

2-3 3.4%

2-4 1.3%

2-5 0.4%

3-0 3.6%

3-1 5.4%

3-2 4.0%

3-3 2.0%

3-4 0.8%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 1.6%

4-1 2.4%

4-2 1.8%

4-3 0.9%

4-4 0.3%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.6%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.7%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.0%) 1-0 (6.6%) 2-0 (6.0%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ I=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Al Wasl Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Ittihad Kalba Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Al Wasl

Overall

5.3 ▼

Scoring

5.7 ▼

Defence

4.3 ▼

Ittihad Kalba

Overall

2.5 ▲

Scoring

4.3 ▲

Defence

3.7 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 42%

Home Win & BTTS No 14%

Draw & BTTS Yes 25%

Draw & BTTS No 8%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%

Away Win & BTTS No 3%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 42%

Home Win & Under 2.5 14%

Draw & Over 2.5 25%

Draw & Under 2.5 8%

Away Win & Over 2.5 8%

Away Win & Under 2.5 3%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

07.01.26LEA

Ittihad Kalba2

Al Wasl2

30.01.25LEA

Al Wasl1

Ittihad Kalba1

26.01.25PC

Al Wasl2

Ittihad Kalba0

23.08.24LEA

Ittihad Kalba2

Al Wasl2

21.05.24LEA

Ittihad Kalba2

Al Wasl4

30.04.24PC

Al Wasl4

Ittihad Kalba1

16.12.23LEA

Al Wasl2

Ittihad Kalba1

18.03.23LEA

Ittihad Kalba1

Al Wasl1

23.10.22LEA

Al Wasl2

Ittihad Kalba2

05.03.22LEA

Al Wasl1

Ittihad Kalba1

Recent Form

Al Wasl

11.05.26LEA

Al Jazira1

Al Wasl2

06.05.26LEA

Al Wahda2

Al Wasl3

24.04.26LEA

Al Wasl4

Dibba Al Fujairah2

19.04.26CL2

Al Wasl0

Al Nassr4

11.04.26LEA

Ajman1

Al Wasl3

05.04.26LEA

Al Sharjah2

Al Wasl1

18.03.26LEA

Al Wasl3

Al Dhafra0

12.03.26LEA

Al Ain2

Al Wasl0

07.03.26LEA

Bani Yas2

Al Wasl0

25.02.26LEA

Al Wasl1

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1

Ittihad Kalba

11.05.26LEA

Al Nasr2

Ittihad Kalba1

05.05.26LEA

Ittihad Kalba0

Khorfakkan0

23.04.26LEA

Ittihad Kalba1

Bani Yas2

09.04.26LEA

Al Wahda2

Ittihad Kalba2

04.04.26LEA

Al Bataeh2

Ittihad Kalba2

17.03.26LEA

Ittihad Kalba2

Al Sharjah2

11.03.26LEA

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai5

Ittihad Kalba1

26.02.26LEA

Ittihad Kalba1

Al Dhafra1

21.02.26LEA

Ittihad Kalba2

Dibba Al Fujairah1

13.02.26LEA

Al Jazira2

Ittihad Kalba1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this UAE League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.34 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al Wasl vs Ittihad Kalba?

Our selection is 1 — Al Wasl to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 47%.

What is Al Wasl's current form?

Al Wasl have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.

How has Ittihad Kalba been performing recently?

Ittihad Kalba have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Wasl lead with 4 wins versus Ittihad Kalba's 0, with 6 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.

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