WON

Result: Al Qadsiah 2-0 Al Hazem

Al Qadsiah

Home Side

W W W D D

6W 3D 1L

2-0

Saudi Professional League

Al Hazem

Away Side

D L D W W

4W 3D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Al Qadsiah to win — Thursday, 14th May 2026

Best Odds 1.24

Confidence 50%

Implied Prob 80.6%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Al Qadsiah to win

1.24

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes75%

Implied Prob

80.6%

Based on 1.24 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-30.6%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Al Qadsiah

Draws

Al Hazem

Meetings

70%

BTTS Rate

50%

Over 2.5

2.8

Avg Goals

Against Pick Al Qadsiah won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Al Qadsiah

Metric

Al Hazem

2.6

Goals For / Game

1.4

1.2

Goals Against / Game

1.3

20%

Clean Sheet %

10%

6-3-1

W — D — L

4-3-3

Win Rate Comparison

60%

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 3.9%

0-1 5.0%

0-2 3.3%

0-3 1.4%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 7.6%

1-1 9.8%

1-2 6.4%

1-3 2.8%

1-4 0.9%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 7.4%

2-1 9.6%

2-2 6.2%

2-3 2.7%

2-4 0.9%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.8%

3-1 6.2%

3-2 4.1%

3-3 1.8%

3-4 0.6%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 2.3%

4-1 3.0%

4-2 2.0%

4-3 0.9%

4-4 0.3%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.9%

5-1 1.2%

5-2 0.8%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.6%) 1-0 (7.6%) 2-0 (7.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Al Qadsiah Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Al Hazem Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Al Qadsiah

Overall

6.9 —

Scoring

8.7 —

Defence

6.0 —

Al Hazem

Overall

4.9 —

Scoring

4.7 —

Defence

5.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%

Home Win & BTTS No 12%

Draw & BTTS Yes 17%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%

Away Win & BTTS No 8%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 32%

Home Win & Under 2.5 14%

Draw & Over 2.5 16%

Draw & Under 2.5 7%

Away Win & Over 2.5 22%

Away Win & Under 2.5 9%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

18.01.26SPL

Al Hazem1

Al Qadsiah5

28.10.25KC

Al Qadsiah3

Al Hazem1

06.03.23DIV

Al Qadsiah1

Al Hazem1

10.10.22DIV

Al Hazem1

Al Qadsiah0

16.05.19SPL

Al Qadsiah2

Al Hazem2

18.10.18SPL

Al Hazem2

Al Qadsiah1

20.04.15DIV

Al Hazem0

Al Qadsiah2

12.12.14DIV

Al Qadsiah1

Al Hazem2

29.03.14DIV

Al Qadsiah1

Al Hazem1

06.12.13DIV

Al Hazem0

Al Qadsiah1

Recent Form

Al Qadsiah

09.05.26SPL

Al Fayha1

Al Qadsiah2

03.05.26SPL

Al Qadsiah3

Al Nassr1

29.04.26SPL

Al Riyadh0

Al Qadsiah4

14.04.26SPL

Al Qadsiah2

Al Shabab2

09.04.26SPL

Damac1

Al Qadsiah1

05.04.26SPL

Al Ettifaq3

Al Qadsiah2

13.03.26SPL

Al Qadsiah3

Al Ahli SC2

07.03.26SPL

Al Kholood1

Al Qadsiah4

28.02.26SPL

Al Qadsiah1

Al Taawon1

23.02.26SPL

Al Qadsiah4

Al Ettifaq0

Al Hazem

09.05.26SPL

Al Najma2

Al Hazem2

02.05.26SPL

Al Hazem0

Al Hilal3

28.04.26SPL

Neom SC1

Al Hazem1

24.04.26SPL

Al Hazem2

Al Riyadh1

11.04.26SPL

Al Hazem2

Al Fayha0

03.04.26SPL

Al Ittihad1

Al Hazem0

12.03.26SPL

Al Hazem2

Al Kholood1

06.03.26SPL

Al Khaleej2

Al Hazem1

27.02.26SPL

Al Hazem3

Al Ettifaq1

24.02.26SPL

Al Hazem1

Al Ittihad1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Saudi Professional League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.24 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al Qadsiah vs Al Hazem?

Our selection is 1 — Al Qadsiah to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 50%.

What is Al Qadsiah's current form?

Al Qadsiah have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Al Hazem been performing recently?

Al Hazem have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Qadsiah lead with 4 wins versus Al Hazem's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.

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