WON

Result: Corinthians 1-0 Barra FC

Corinthians

Home Side

W D L W W

6W 3D 1L

1-0

Copa Do Brasil

Barra FC

Away Side

D W D L D

4W 3D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Corinthians to win — Thursday, 14th May 2026

Best Odds 1.22

Confidence 62%

Implied Prob 82%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Corinthians to win

1.22

Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No75% Corinthians Clean Sheet70%

Implied Prob

82%

Based on 1.22 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-20%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Corinthians

Draws

Barra FC

Meetings

BTTS Rate

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Corinthians won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Corinthians

Metric

Barra FC

1.3

Goals For / Game

1.1

0.5

Goals Against / Game

0.6

70%

Clean Sheet %

50%

6-3-1

W — D — L

4-3-3

Win Rate Comparison

60%

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 17.4%

0-1 13.9%

0-2 5.6%

0-3 1.5%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 16.5%

1-1 13.2%

1-2 5.3%

1-3 1.4%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 7.8%

2-1 6.3%

2-2 2.5%

2-3 0.7%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 2.5%

3-1 2.0%

3-2 0.8%

3-3 0.2%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 0.6%

4-1 0.5%

4-2 0.2%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.1%

5-1 0.1%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (16.5%) 2-0 (7.8%) 2-1 (6.3%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓ B=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Corinthians Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Barra FC Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Corinthians

Overall

6.9 —

Scoring

4.3 —

Defence

8.3 —

Barra FC

Overall

4.9 ▲

Scoring

3.7 ▲

Defence

8.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Home Win & BTTS No 35%

Draw & BTTS Yes 6%

Draw & BTTS No 17%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%

Away Win & BTTS No 23%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 12%

Home Win & Under 2.5 35%

Draw & Over 2.5 6%

Draw & Under 2.5 17%

Away Win & Over 2.5 8%

Away Win & Under 2.5 23%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

22.04.26COP

Barra FC0

Corinthians1

Recent Form

Corinthians

10.05.26SA

Corinthians3

Sao Paulo2

07.05.26COP

Santa Fe1

Corinthians1

04.05.26SA

Mirassol2

Corinthians1

01.05.26COP

Corinthians2

Penarol0

26.04.26SA

Corinthians1

Vasco0

22.04.26COP

Barra FC0

Corinthians1

19.04.26SA

Vitoria0

Corinthians0

16.04.26COP

Corinthians2

Santa Fe0

12.04.26SA

Corinthians0

Palmeiras0

10.04.26COP

Platense0

Corinthians2

Barra FC

10.05.26SC

Barra FC0

SER Caxias0

05.05.26SC

Figueirense0

Barra FC3

26.04.26SC

Barra FC2

Inter de Limeira2

22.04.26COP

Barra FC0

Corinthians1

18.04.26SC

Paysandu PA1

Barra FC1

12.04.26SC

Barra FC3

Maranhao0

04.04.26SC

Botafogo PB1

Barra FC0

20.03.26COP

Volta Redonda0

Barra FC1

13.03.26COP

Barra FC1

America MG0

08.03.26CAT

Chapecoense-SC1

Barra FC0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Copa Do Brasil game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.22 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Corinthians vs Barra FC?

Our selection is 1 — Corinthians to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 62%.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Barra FC been performing recently?

Barra FC have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Corinthians lead with 1 wins versus Barra FC's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

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