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Result: Naestved 1-2 Hellerup

Naestved

Home Side

L W L D L

3W 4D 3L

1-2

Denmark 2 Division

Hellerup

Away Side

1W 0D 9L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Naestved to win — Wednesday, 13th May 2026

Best Odds 1.37

Confidence 41%

Implied Prob 73%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Naestved to win

1.37

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%

Implied Prob

73%

Based on 1.37 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-32%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Naestved

Draws

Hellerup

Meetings

70%

BTTS Rate

90%

Over 2.5

3.4

Avg Goals

Against Pick Naestved won 4 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Naestved

Metric

Hellerup

0.9

Goals For / Game

0.8

1.3

Goals Against / Game

2.9

30%

Clean Sheet %

3-4-3

W — D — L

1-0-9

Win Rate Comparison

30%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.2%

0-1 5.5%

0-2 2.9%

0-3 1.0%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.9%

1-1 10.4%

1-2 5.5%

1-3 1.9%

1-4 0.5%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.5%

2-1 9.9%

2-2 5.2%

2-3 1.8%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 6.0%

3-1 6.3%

3-2 3.3%

3-3 1.2%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.8%

4-1 3.0%

4-2 1.6%

4-3 0.6%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.1%

5-1 1.1%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (9.9%) 2-1 (9.9%) 2-0 (9.5%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓ H=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Naestved Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Hellerup Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Naestved

Overall

4.2 ▲

Scoring

3.0 ▲

Defence

5.7 ▲

Hellerup

Overall

1.0 ▲

Scoring

2.7 ▲

Defence

0.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%

Home Win & BTTS No 20%

Draw & BTTS Yes 20%

Draw & BTTS No 13%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%

Away Win & BTTS No 7%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 35%

Home Win & Under 2.5 15%

Draw & Over 2.5 23%

Draw & Under 2.5 10%

Away Win & Over 2.5 12%

Away Win & Under 2.5 5%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

01.05.262D

Hellerup1

Naestved2

06.04.262D

Naestved2

Hellerup1

08.08.252D

Hellerup2

Naestved1

28.02.25CF

Hellerup3

Naestved0

25.10.242D

Hellerup1

Naestved0

25.08.242D

Naestved0

Hellerup3

29.05.222D

Naestved2

Hellerup2

18.04.222D

Hellerup1

Naestved2

20.03.222D

Naestved4

Hellerup3

21.08.212D

Hellerup2

Naestved2

Recent Form

Naestved

09.05.262D

Naestved1

Vendsyssel3

01.05.262D

Hellerup1

Naestved2

24.04.262D

AB Copenhagen3

Naestved0

17.04.262D

Naestved0

Roskilde0

11.04.262D

Thisted FC2

Naestved0

06.04.262D

Naestved2

Hellerup1

02.04.262D

Roskilde2

Naestved3

29.03.262D

Naestved0

Brabrand0

21.03.262D

Skive0

Naestved0

15.03.262D

Naestved1

Vendsyssel1

Hellerup

08.05.262D

Hellerup1

Roskilde2

01.05.262D

Hellerup1

Naestved2

26.04.262D

Vendsyssel4

Hellerup1

19.04.262D

Thisted FC4

Hellerup0

10.04.262D

Hellerup1

AB Copenhagen5

06.04.262D

Naestved2

Hellerup1

01.04.262D

Hellerup2

Ishoj1

27.03.262D

Hellerup0

F. Amager3

21.03.262D

VSK Aarhus4

Hellerup1

13.03.262D

Hellerup0

Roskilde2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Denmark 2 Division game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.37 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Naestved vs Hellerup?

Our selection is 1 — Naestved to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 41%.

What is Naestved's current form?

Naestved have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has Hellerup been performing recently?

Hellerup have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Naestved lead with 4 wins versus Hellerup's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.

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