WON

Result: Man City 3-0 Crystal Palace

Man City

Home Side

W D W W W

7W 2D 1L

3-0

Premier League

Crystal Palace

Away Side

D W L W L

5W 2D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Man City to win — Wednesday, 13th May 2026

Best Odds 1.38

Confidence 56%

Implied Prob 72.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Man City to win

1.38

Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90%

Implied Prob

72.5%

Based on 1.38 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-16.5%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Man City

Draws

Crystal Palace

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

3.4

Avg Goals

Neutral Data Man City won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Man City

Metric

Crystal Palace

2.2

Goals For / Game

1.6

0.8

Goals Against / Game

1.4

50%

Clean Sheet %

20%

7-2-1

W — D — L

5-2-3

Win Rate Comparison

70%

50%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.0%

0-1 6.0%

0-2 3.6%

0-3 1.4%

0-4 0.4%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.0%

1-1 10.8%

1-2 6.5%

1-3 2.6%

1-4 0.8%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 8.1%

2-1 9.7%

2-2 5.8%

2-3 2.3%

2-4 0.7%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.8%

3-1 5.8%

3-2 3.5%

3-3 1.4%

3-4 0.4%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.2%

4-1 2.6%

4-2 1.6%

4-3 0.6%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.8%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.7%) 1-0 (9.0%) 2-0 (8.1%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓ C=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Man City Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Crystal Palace Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Man City

Overall

7.6 ▼

Scoring

7.3 ▼

Defence

7.3 ▼

Crystal Palace

Overall

5.6 ▲

Scoring

5.3 ▲

Defence

5.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%

Home Win & BTTS No 20%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%

Away Win & BTTS No 14%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 40%

Home Win & Under 2.5 10%

Draw & Over 2.5 11%

Draw & Under 2.5 3%

Away Win & Over 2.5 29%

Away Win & Under 2.5 7%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

14.12.25PL

Crystal Palace0

Manchester City3

17.05.25FAC

Crystal Palace1

Manchester City0

12.04.25PL

Manchester City5

Crystal Palace2

07.12.24PL

Crystal Palace2

Manchester City2

06.04.24PL

Crystal Palace2

Manchester City4

16.12.23PL

Manchester City2

Crystal Palace2

11.03.23PL

Crystal Palace0

Manchester City1

27.08.22PL

Manchester City4

Crystal Palace2

14.03.22PL

Crystal Palace0

Manchester City0

30.10.21PL

Manchester City0

Crystal Palace2

Recent Form

Man City

09.05.26PL

Manchester City3

Brentford0

04.05.26PL

Everton3

Manchester City3

25.04.26FAC

Manchester City2

Southampton1

22.04.26PL

Burnley0

Manchester City1

19.04.26PL

Manchester City2

Arsenal1

12.04.26PL

Chelsea0

Manchester City3

04.04.26FAC

Manchester City4

Liverpool0

22.03.26EFL

Arsenal0

Manchester City2

17.03.26CL

Manchester City1

Real Madrid2

14.03.26PL

West Ham1

Manchester City1

Crystal Palace

10.05.26PL

Crystal Palace2

Everton2

07.05.26UECL

Crystal Palace2

Shakhtar Donetsk1

03.05.26PL

Bournemouth3

Crystal Palace0

30.04.26UECL

Shakhtar Donetsk1

Crystal Palace3

25.04.26PL

Liverpool3

Crystal Palace1

20.04.26PL

Crystal Palace0

West Ham0

16.04.26UECL

Fiorentina2

Crystal Palace1

12.04.26PL

Crystal Palace2

Newcastle1

09.04.26UECL

Crystal Palace3

Fiorentina0

19.03.26UECL

AEK Larnaca1

Crystal Palace2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Man City vs Crystal Palace?

Our selection is 1 — Man City to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

What is Man City's current form?

Man City have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Crystal Palace been performing recently?

Crystal Palace have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Man City lead with 5 wins versus Crystal Palace's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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