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Result: Al Nassr 1-1 Al Hilal
DirectWinPredict Saudi Professional League Al Nassr vs Al Hilal
A

Al Nassr

Home Side
W L W W W
9W 0D 1L
VS
1-1
Saudi Professional League
A
Al Hilal
Away Side
W W W W L
8W 1D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Tuesday, 12th May 2026
Best Odds 1.39
Confidence 79%
Implied Prob 71.9%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% Al Nassr Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
71.9%
Based on 1.39 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+7.1%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
25.2%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Al Nassr
2
Draws
6
Al Hilal
10
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.1
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Nassr
Metric
Al Hilal
3
Goals For / Game
2.6
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.9
60%
Clean Sheet %
50%
9-0-1
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate Comparison
90%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 5.1%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 4.2%
1-4 1.8%
1-5 0.6%
A2
2-0 4.9%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 4.1%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
A3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 2.6%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
A4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (8.6%) 2-1 (8.4%) 1-2 (7.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Nassr
Overall
9.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.3
Al Hilal
Overall
8.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
7.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.01.26SPL
Al Hilal3
Al Nassr1
04.04.25SPL
Al Hilal1
Al Nassr3
01.11.24SPL
Al Nassr1
Al Hilal1
17.08.24SC
Al Nassr1
Al Hilal4
31.05.24KC
Al Hilal2
Al Nassr1
17.05.24SPL
Al Nassr1
Al Hilal1
08.04.24SC
Al Hilal2
Al Nassr1
08.02.24CF
Al Hilal2
Al Nassr0
01.12.23SPL
Al Hilal3
Al Nassr0
12.08.23ACCC
Al Hilal1
Al Nassr2
Recent Form
Al Nassr
07.05.26SPL
Al Shabab2
Al Nassr4
W
03.05.26SPL
Al Qadsiah3
Al Nassr1
L
29.04.26SPL
Al Nassr2
Al Ahli SC0
W
22.04.26CL2
Al Nassr5
Al Ahli Doha1
W
19.04.26CL2
Al Wasl0
Al Nassr4
W
15.04.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Al Ettifaq0
W
11.04.26SPL
Al Okhdood0
Al Nassr2
W
03.04.26SPL
Al Nassr5
Al Najma2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Nassr5
W
07.03.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Neom SC0
W
Al Hilal
08.05.26KC
Al Kholood1
Al Hilal2
W
05.05.26SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal2
W
02.05.26SPL
Al Hazem0
Al Hilal3
W
28.04.26SPL
Al Hilal1
Damac0
W
13.04.26CL
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
L
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
W
04.04.26SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
D
18.03.26KC
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
W
06.03.26SPL
Al Hilal4
Al Najma0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Saudi Professional League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.39 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Nassr vs Al Hilal?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Al Nassr's current form?
Al Nassr have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Hilal been performing recently?
Al Hilal have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Nassr lead with 2 wins versus Al Hilal's 6, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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