WON
Result: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
DirectWinPredict Israel Ligat Ha'al Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
H

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Home Side
D L L W W
3W 3D 4L
VS
1-0
Israel Ligat Ha'al
H
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Away Side
L L L L L
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Hapoel Tel Aviv to win — Tuesday, 12th May 2026
Best Odds 1.39
Confidence 44%
Implied Prob 71.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Hapoel Tel Aviv to win
1.39
BTTS — No65%
Implied Prob
71.9%
Based on 1.39 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-27.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5
Draws
0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Hapoel Tel Aviv won 5 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Metric
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.9
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
50%
Clean Sheet %
30%
3-3-4
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
30%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 9.4%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 15.0%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
H2
2-0 10.1%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
H3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (15.0%) 2-0 (10.1%) 2-1 (8.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓   H=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Hapoel Petah Tikva Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.3
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 19%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
25.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
11.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
06.12.25LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
22.07.25TOT
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
11.04.25LL
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
06.01.25LL
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
29.08.24LL
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
13.04.24LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
04.03.24LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
23.12.23LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Recent Form
Hapoel Tel Aviv
09.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
D
06.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Beitar Jerusalem1
L
02.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
L
29.04.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Maccabi Haifa0
W
25.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
W
19.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
L
11.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
D
06.04.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Maccabi Haifa0
W
21.02.26LH
Sakhnin0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
D
13.02.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv3
Hapoel Jerusalem1
W
Hapoel Petah Tikva
09.05.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
H. Beer Sheva4
L
05.05.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
L
02.05.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Maccabi Haifa2
L
28.04.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem3
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
L
25.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
L
18.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva3
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
L
11.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
D
04.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
D
26.03.26CF
SC Ashdod1
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
W
21.02.26LH
Maccabi Haifa0
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Israel Ligat Ha’al game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.39 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Our selection is 1 — Hapoel Tel Aviv to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Hapoel Tel Aviv's current form?
Hapoel Tel Aviv have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hapoel Petah Tikva been performing recently?
Hapoel Petah Tikva have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hapoel Tel Aviv lead with 5 wins versus Hapoel Petah Tikva's 0, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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