WON

Result: Chengdu Rongcheng 3-0 Henan Songshan

Chengdu Rongcheng

Home Side

W W W W W

9W 1D 0L

3-0

China Super League

Henan Songshan

Away Side

D W L D L

3W 3D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Chengdu Rongcheng to win — Saturday, 9th May 2026

Best Odds 1.48

Confidence 58%

Implied Prob 67.6%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Chengdu Rongcheng

Draws

Henan Songshan

Meetings

44%

BTTS Rate

33%

Over 2.5

2.4

Avg Goals

Against Pick Chengdu Rongcheng won 3 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Chengdu Rongcheng

Metric

Henan Songshan

2.7

Goals For / Game

1.1

0.9

Goals Against / Game

1.1

40%

Clean Sheet %

20%

9-1-0

W — D — L

3-3-4

Win Rate Comparison

90%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.5%

0-1 5.5%

0-2 2.8%

0-3 0.9%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 10.5%

1-1 10.5%

1-2 5.2%

1-3 1.7%

1-4 0.4%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.9%

2-1 9.9%

2-2 5.0%

2-3 1.7%

2-4 0.4%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 6.3%

3-1 6.3%

3-2 3.2%

3-3 1.1%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 3.0%

4-1 3.0%

4-2 1.5%

4-3 0.5%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.1%

5-1 1.1%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.5%) 2-0 (9.9%) 2-1 (9.9%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓ H=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Chengdu Rongcheng Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Henan Songshan Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Chengdu Rongcheng

Overall

9.3 ▼

Scoring

9.0 ▼

Defence

7.0 ▼

Henan Songshan

Overall

3.9 ▲

Scoring

3.7 ▲

Defence

6.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%

Home Win & BTTS No 29%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Away Win & BTTS No 10%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 38%

Home Win & Under 2.5 26%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 6%

Away Win & Over 2.5 13%

Away Win & Under 2.5 9%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

31.10.25SL

Chengdu Rongcheng1

Henan Songshan Longmen2

19.08.25FAC

Chengdu Rongcheng0

Henan Songshan Longmen1

14.06.25SL

Henan Songshan Longmen3

Chengdu Rongcheng2

21.09.24SL

Henan Songshan Longmen2

Chengdu Rongcheng0

10.05.24SL

Chengdu Rongcheng4

Henan Songshan Longmen2

11.07.23SL

Chengdu Rongcheng2

Henan Songshan Longmen0

16.04.23SL

Henan Songshan Longmen1

Chengdu Rongcheng1

05.12.22SL

Henan Songshan Longmen0

Chengdu Rongcheng1

25.09.22SL

Chengdu Rongcheng0

Henan Songshan Longmen0

Recent Form

Chengdu Rongcheng

05.05.26SL

Liaoning Tieren0

Chengdu Rongcheng1

01.05.26SL

Shanghai Shenhua2

Chengdu Rongcheng3

25.04.26SL

Chengdu Rongcheng4

Zhejiang Professional0

21.04.26SL

Chengdu Rongcheng2

Yunnan Yukun1

17.04.26SL

Wuhan Three Towns0

Chengdu Rongcheng1

12.04.26SL

Beijing Guoan1

Chengdu Rongcheng2

03.04.26SL

Chengdu Rongcheng5

Qingdao West Coast1

21.03.26SL

Chongqing Tonglianglong3

Chengdu Rongcheng3

15.03.26SL

Chengdu Rongcheng1

Qingdao Hainiu0

06.03.26SL

Chengdu Rongcheng5

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1

Henan Songshan

05.05.26SL

Chongqing Tonglianglong1

Henan Songshan Longmen1

01.05.26SL

Henan Songshan Longmen4

Liaoning Tieren0

26.04.26SL

Henan Songshan Longmen0

Shanghai Shenhua3

22.04.26SL

Qingdao West Coast0

Henan Songshan Longmen0

18.04.26SL

Dalian Yingbo2

Henan Songshan Longmen1

11.04.26SL

Henan Songshan Longmen0

Shandong Taishan1

04.04.26SL

Qingdao Hainiu1

Henan Songshan Longmen0

21.03.26SL

Henan Songshan Longmen1

Wuhan Three Towns1

15.03.26SL

Henan Songshan Longmen2

Yunnan Yukun1

07.03.26SL

Shanghai Port1

Henan Songshan Longmen2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this China Super League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.48 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Chengdu Rongcheng vs Henan Songshan?

Our selection is 1 — Chengdu Rongcheng to win, priced at approximately 1.48. Tip confidence rating: 58%.

What is Chengdu Rongcheng's current form?

Chengdu Rongcheng have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.

How has Henan Songshan been performing recently?

Henan Songshan have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Chengdu Rongcheng lead with 3 wins versus Henan Songshan's 4, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 44%.

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