WON

Result: BEI NFA 5-2 Siauliai 2

BEI NFA

Home Side

W L W D W

4W 2D 4L

5-2

Lithuania 1 Lyga

Siauliai 2

Away Side

W L D L L

3W 3D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing BEI NFA to win — Friday, 8th May 2026

Best Odds 1.31

Confidence 34%

Implied Prob 76.3%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — BEI NFA to win

1.31

Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No75%

Implied Prob

76.3%

Based on 1.31 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-42.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

BEI NFA

Draws

Siauliai 2

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

63%

Over 2.5

3.3

Avg Goals

Against Pick BEI NFA won 0 of the last 8 meetings (7 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

BEI NFA

Metric

Siauliai 2

Goals For / Game

1.8

Goals Against / Game

1.7

Clean Sheet %

30%

4-2-4

W — D — L

3-3-4

Win Rate Comparison

40%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 17.4%

0-1 15.6%

0-2 7.0%

0-3 2.1%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 14.8%

1-1 13.3%

1-2 6.0%

1-3 1.8%

1-4 0.4%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 6.3%

2-1 5.7%

2-2 2.5%

2-3 0.8%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 1.8%

3-1 1.6%

3-2 0.7%

3-3 0.2%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 0.4%

4-1 0.3%

4-2 0.2%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.1%

5-1 0.1%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.8%) 2-0 (6.3%) 2-1 (5.7%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ S=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

BEI NFA Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Siauliai 2 Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

BEI NFA

Overall

4.6 ▼

Scoring

0.0 ▼

Defence

10.0 ▼

Siauliai 2

Overall

3.9 ▲

Scoring

6.0 ▲

Defence

4.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%

Home Win & BTTS No 32%

Draw & BTTS Yes 7%

Draw & BTTS No 20%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%

Away Win & BTTS No 24%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 15%

Home Win & Under 2.5 27%

Draw & Over 2.5 9%

Draw & Under 2.5 17%

Away Win & Over 2.5 11%

Away Win & Under 2.5 21%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

31.10.25IL

BE1 NFA3

Siauliai 20

22.06.25IL

Siauliai 20

BE1 NFA2

26.07.24IL

BE1 NFA3

Siauliai 22

13.04.24IL

Siauliai 21

BE1 NFA5

05.08.23IL

BE1 NFA2

Siauliai 21

20.03.23IL

Siauliai 22

BE1 NFA1

07.09.22IL

BE1 NFA2

Siauliai 20

09.04.22IL

Siauliai 20

BE1 NFA2

Recent Form

BEI NFA

02.05.26IL

Kauno Zalgiris 20

BE1 NFA1

28.04.26CUP

Klaipedos FM1

BE1 NFA0

24.04.26IL

BE1 NFA2

Ekranas1

18.04.26IL

Garliava2

BE1 NFA2

05.04.26IL

Hegelmann Litauen 20

BE1 NFA3

22.03.26IL

BE1 NFA2

FK Minija3

18.03.26IL

Jonava2

BE1 NFA2

13.03.26IL

BE1 NFA3

BFA Vilnius1

15.02.26CF

Transinvest4

BE1 NFA0

31.01.26CF

Suduva1

BE1 NFA0

Siauliai 2

03.05.26IL

Siauliai 22

Hegelmann Litauen 20

25.04.26IL

FK Minija3

Siauliai 21

19.04.26IL

Siauliai 22

Jonava2

03.04.26IL

Zalgiris 24

Siauliai 20

21.03.26IL

Siauliai 21

Atmosfera4

17.03.26IL

BFA Vilnius1

Siauliai 20

13.03.26IL

Siauliai 20

Neptunas0

23.11.25IL

Siauliai 25

Sveikata0

20.11.25IL

Sveikata2

Siauliai 22

09.11.25IL

Babrungas1

Siauliai 25

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Lithuania 1 Lyga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.31 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for BEI NFA vs Siauliai 2?

Our selection is 1 — BEI NFA to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 34%.

What is BEI NFA's current form?

BEI NFA have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.

How has Siauliai 2 been performing recently?

Siauliai 2 have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

BEI NFA lead with 0 wins versus Siauliai 2's 1, with 7 draws across 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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