WON
Result: Al Kholood 1-2 Al Hilal
DirectWinPredict Saudi Kings Cup Al Kholood vs Al Hilal
A

Al Kholood

Home Side
D D W L D
4W 3D 3L
VS
1-2
Saudi Kings Cup
A
Al Hilal
Away Side
W W W L W
8W 1D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Friday, 8th May 2026
Best Odds 1.37
Confidence 90%
Implied Prob 73%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
73%
Based on 1.37 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+17%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
63%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Al Kholood
0
Draws
4
Al Hilal
4
Meetings
75%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
5.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Kholood
Metric
Al Hilal
1.5
Goals For / Game
2.9
2.1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
10%
Clean Sheet %
50%
4-3-3
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate Comparison
40%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 5.6%
0-2 7.0%
0-3 5.8%
0-4 3.6%
0-5 1.8%
A1
1-0 2.9%
1-1 7.3%
1-2 9.1%
1-3 7.6%
1-4 4.7%
1-5 2.4%
A2
2-0 1.9%
2-1 4.7%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 4.9%
2-4 3.1%
2-5 1.5%
A3
3-0 0.8%
3-1 2.1%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 1.3%
3-5 0.7%
A4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.1%) 1-3 (7.6%) 1-1 (7.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Kholood
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.0
Al Hilal
Overall
8.3
Scoring
9.7
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 10%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 46%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
31.12.25SPL
Al Kholood1
Al Hilal3
25.02.25SPL
Al Hilal5
Al Kholood1
28.09.24SPL
Al Kholood2
Al Hilal4
Recent Form
Al Kholood
04.05.26SPL
Al Ittihad0
Al Kholood0
D
30.04.26SPL
Al Kholood1
Al Fayha1
D
11.04.26SPL
Al Taawon1
Al Kholood2
W
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
L
03.04.26SPL
Al Kholood2
Al Khaleej2
D
18.03.26KC
Al Kholood3
Al Ittihad2
W
12.03.26SPL
Al Hazem2
Al Kholood1
L
07.03.26SPL
Al Kholood1
Al Qadsiah4
L
28.02.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Kholood2
W
24.02.26SPL
Al Khaleej2
Al Kholood3
W
Al Hilal
05.05.26SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal2
W
02.05.26SPL
Al Hazem0
Al Hilal3
W
28.04.26SPL
Al Hilal1
Damac0
W
13.04.26CL
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
L
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
W
04.04.26SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
D
18.03.26KC
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
W
06.03.26SPL
Al Hilal4
Al Najma0
W
27.02.26SPL
Al Shabab3
Al Hilal5
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Saudi Kings Cup game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.37 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Kholood vs Al Hilal?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Al Kholood's current form?
Al Kholood have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Hilal been performing recently?
Al Hilal have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Kholood lead with 0 wins versus Al Hilal's 4, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
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