WON
Result: Zimbru Chisinau 2-0 Milsami
DirectWinPredict Moldovan Cup Zimbru Chisinau vs Milsami
Z

Zimbru Chisinau

Home Side
W W W W L
7W 2D 1L
VS
2-0
Moldovan Cup
M
Milsami
Away Side
L L D L L
2W 3D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Zimbru Chisinau to win — Wednesday, 6th May 2026
Best Odds 1.51
Confidence 56%
Implied Prob 66.2%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Zimbru Chisinau to win
1.51
BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
66.2%
Based on 1.51 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-10.2%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Zimbru Chisinau
1
Draws
4
Milsami
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
3.1
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Zimbru Chisinau won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Zimbru Chisinau
Metric
Milsami
2.7
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheet %
50%
7-2-1
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
70%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
Z0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
Z1
1-0 11.9%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 4.3%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
Z2
2-0 11.6%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
Z3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
Z4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.9%) 2-0 (11.6%) 2-1 (9.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · Z=Home goals ↓   M=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Zimbru Chisinau Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Milsami Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Zimbru Chisinau
Overall
7.6
Scoring
9.0
Defence
7.0
Milsami
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 43%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
18.04.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami1
07.03.26SL
Milsami0
Zimbru Chisinau0
05.10.25SL
Milsami0
Zimbru Chisinau3
10.08.25SL
Zimbru Chisinau2
Milsami1
21.06.25SL
Milsami3
Zimbru Chisinau0
19.04.25SL
Milsami2
Zimbru Chisinau0
08.03.25SL
Zimbru Chisinau1
Milsami2
06.10.24SL
Milsami3
Zimbru Chisinau1
11.08.24SL
Zimbru Chisinau4
Milsami1
21.04.24SL
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami1
Recent Form
Zimbru Chisinau
02.05.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau4
Balti1
W
25.04.26SL
Dacia Buiucani0
Zimbru Chisinau3
W
21.04.26CUP
Politehnica UTM0
Zimbru Chisinau5
W
18.04.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami1
W
11.04.26SL
Petrocub3
Zimbru Chisinau0
L
05.04.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau2
Sheriff Tiraspol2
D
21.03.26SL
Balti0
Zimbru Chisinau2
W
14.03.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau3
Dacia Buiucani2
W
07.03.26SL
Milsami0
Zimbru Chisinau0
D
03.03.26CUP
Zimbru Chisinau5
Politehnica UTM0
W
Milsami
02.05.26SL
Milsami0
Petrocub3
L
26.04.26SL
Balti1
Milsami0
L
22.04.26CUP
Sparta Selemet0
Milsami0
D
18.04.26SL
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami1
L
11.04.26SL
Sheriff Tiraspol3
Milsami1
L
04.04.26SL
Milsami1
Dacia Buiucani0
W
21.03.26SL
Petrocub2
Milsami0
L
15.03.26SL
Milsami0
Balti0
D
07.03.26SL
Milsami0
Zimbru Chisinau0
D
03.03.26CUP
Milsami5
Sparta Selemet0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Zimbru Chisinau host Milsami in Moldovan Cup. We recommend Zimbru Chisinau to win as the standout selection.

Zimbru Chisinau arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Milsami are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zimbru Chisinau, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Milsami's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zimbru chisinau to win at odds of 1.51 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Moldovan Cup game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.51 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zimbru Chisinau vs Milsami?
Our selection is 1 — Zimbru Chisinau to win, priced at approximately 1.51. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Zimbru Chisinau's current form?
Zimbru Chisinau have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Milsami been performing recently?
Milsami have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zimbru Chisinau lead with 5 wins versus Milsami's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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