WON

Result: Raja Casablanca 1-0 Difaa El Jadidi

Raja Casablanca

Home Side

L W W W D

5W 3D 2L

1-0

Morocco Botola Pro

Difaa El Jadidi

Away Side

W W D L W

6W 3D 1L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Raja Casablanca to win — Sunday, 3rd May 2026

Best Odds 1.20

Confidence 55%

Implied Prob 83.3%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Raja Casablanca to win

1.20

Under 2.5 Goals70% Difaa El Jadidi Clean Sheet60%

Implied Prob

83.3%

Based on 1.20 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-28.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Raja Casablanca

Draws

Difaa El Jadidi

Meetings

30%

BTTS Rate

30%

Over 2.5

2.4

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Raja Casablanca won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Raja Casablanca

Metric

Difaa El Jadidi

1.5

Goals For / Game

0.6

Goals Against / Game

0.5

50%

Clean Sheet %

60%

5-3-2

W — D — L

6-3-1

Win Rate Comparison

50%

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 16.5%

0-1 13.2%

0-2 5.3%

0-3 1.4%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 16.5%

1-1 13.2%

1-2 5.3%

1-3 1.4%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 8.3%

2-1 6.6%

2-2 2.6%

2-3 0.7%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 2.8%

3-1 2.2%

3-2 0.9%

3-3 0.2%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 0.7%

4-1 0.6%

4-2 0.2%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.1%

5-1 0.1%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (16.5%) 2-0 (8.3%) 2-1 (6.6%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · R=Home goals ↓ D=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Raja Casablanca Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Difaa El Jadidi Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Raja Casablanca

Overall

5.9 ▼

Scoring

5.0 ▼

Defence

8.0 ▼

Difaa El Jadidi

Overall

6.9 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

8.3 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Home Win & BTTS No 22%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 13%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%

Away Win & BTTS No 26%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 11%

Home Win & Under 2.5 25%

Draw & Over 2.5 6%

Draw & Under 2.5 15%

Away Win & Over 2.5 13%

Away Win & Under 2.5 30%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

28.09.25BOT

Difaa El Jadidi0

Raja Casablanca2

08.05.25BOT

Raja Casablanca3

Difaa El Jadidi2

25.12.24BOT

Difaa El Jadidi2

Raja Casablanca0

23.06.23BOT

Raja Casablanca3

Difaa El Jadidi2

24.01.23BOT

Difaa El Jadidi0

Raja Casablanca0

06.05.22BOT

Raja Casablanca2

Difaa El Jadidi0

30.10.21BOT

Difaa El Jadidi0

Raja Casablanca2

24.06.21BOT

Raja Casablanca2

Difaa El Jadidi0

28.02.21BOT

Difaa El Jadidi0

Raja Casablanca0

20.09.20BOT

Raja Casablanca3

Difaa El Jadidi1

Recent Form

Raja Casablanca

30.04.26BOT

FAR Rabat2

Raja Casablanca1

26.04.26BOT

Raja Casablanca4

FUS Rabat1

07.03.26BOT

Raja Casablanca2

Olympique de Safi0

01.03.26BOT

Hassania Agadir0

Raja Casablanca1

25.02.26BOT

Berkane1

Raja Casablanca1

22.02.26BOT

Raja Casablanca2

IR Tanger0

13.02.26BOT

Raja Casablanca0

Yacoub El Mansour0

08.02.26BOT

COD Meknes1

Raja Casablanca0

01.02.26BOT

Raja Casablanca3

Renaissance Zemamra0

25.01.26BOT

Union Touarga1

Raja Casablanca1

Difaa El Jadidi

30.04.26BOT

Difaa El Jadidi2

Renaissance Zemamra1

25.04.26BOT

COD Meknes0

Difaa El Jadidi1

06.04.26BOT

Wydad AC1

Difaa El Jadidi1

08.03.26BOT

Berkane2

Difaa El Jadidi1

28.02.26BOT

Difaa El Jadidi2

Yacoub El Mansour1

21.02.26BOT

Kawkab Marrakech0

Difaa El Jadidi0

14.02.26BOT

Difaa El Jadidi1

Union Touarga0

31.01.26BOT

Difaa El Jadidi0

Maghreb Fez0

24.01.26BOT

Dcheira0

Difaa El Jadidi1

09.11.25BOT

Difaa El Jadidi1

FUS Rabat0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 3rd May 2026, Raja Casablanca host Difaa El Jadidi in Morocco Botola Pro. We recommend Raja Casablanca to win as the standout selection.

Raja Casablanca arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Difaa El Jadidi are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Raja Casablanca, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Difaa El Jadidi's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: raja casablanca to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Morocco Botola Pro game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.20 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadidi?

Our selection is 1 — Raja Casablanca to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 55%.

What is Raja Casablanca's current form?

Raja Casablanca have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Difaa El Jadidi been performing recently?

Difaa El Jadidi have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Raja Casablanca lead with 7 wins versus Difaa El Jadidi's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.

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