WON
Result: Roma W 2-0 Ternana W
DirectWinPredict Serie A Women Roma W vs Ternana W
R

Roma W

Home Side
W W W W D
6W 4D 0L
VS
2-0
Serie A Women
T
Ternana W
Away Side
D L D D D
1W 4D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Roma W to win — Saturday, 2nd May 2026
Best Odds 1.24
Confidence 67%
Implied Prob 80.6%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
2
Roma W
0
Draws
0
Ternana W
2
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Roma W won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Roma W
Metric
Ternana W
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.9
30%
Clean Sheet %
10%
6-4-0
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate Comparison
60%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
R0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
R1
1-0 10.2%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
R2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
R3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
R4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
R5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.2%) 2-1 (9.9%) 2-0 (9.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · R=Home goals ↓   T=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Roma W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Ternana W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Roma W
Overall
7.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.0
Ternana W
Overall
2.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
3.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 22%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
13.12.25SA
Ternana W0
AS Roma2
22.08.25CUP
Ternana W2
AS Roma4
Recent Form
Roma W
25.04.26SA
Juventus W0
AS Roma W1
W
03.04.26SA
AS Roma W4
Como W3
W
29.03.26COP
Inter W1
AS Roma W2
W
21.03.26SA
Lazio W1
AS Roma W2
W
15.03.26SA
AS Roma W1
Fiorentina W1
D
12.03.26COP
AS Roma W1
Inter W1
D
22.02.26SA
Inter W0
AS Roma W1
W
15.02.26SA
AS Roma W2
Napoli W2
D
08.02.26SA
AS Roma W1
AC Milan W0
W
01.02.26SA
Parma W3
AS Roma W3
D
Ternana W
26.04.26SA
Ternana W2
Fiorentina W2
D
04.04.26SA
Parma W2
Ternana W0
L
22.03.26SA
Ternana W1
Sassuolo W1
D
15.03.26SA
Como W0
Ternana W0
D
22.02.26SA
Ternana W2
Juventus W2
D
14.02.26SA
Ternana W3
Genoa W1
W
08.02.26SA
Napoli W3
Ternana W1
L
01.02.26SA
Ternana W0
Inter W1
L
28.01.26COP
Inter W4
Ternana W0
L
25.01.26SA
AC Milan W3
Ternana W0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Serie A Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.24 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Roma W vs Ternana W?
Our selection is 1 — Roma W to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Roma W's current form?
Roma W have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ternana W been performing recently?
Ternana W have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Roma W lead with 2 wins versus Ternana W's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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