WON

Result: Wurzburger Kickers 4-1 Burghausen

Wurzburger Kickers

Home Side

W D W W W

7W 3D 0L

4-1

Ger. Regionalliga Bayern

Burghausen

Away Side

L W L L D

3W 4D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Wurzburger Kickers to win — Friday, 1st May 2026

Best Odds 1.33

Confidence 61%

Implied Prob 75.2%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Wurzburger Kickers

Draws

Burghausen

Meetings

22%

BTTS Rate

33%

Over 2.5

2.2

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Wurzburger Kickers won 6 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Wurzburger Kickers

Metric

Burghausen

2.7

Goals For / Game

0.6

Goals Against / Game

1.1

40%

Clean Sheet %

50%

7-3-0

W — D — L

3-4-3

Win Rate Comparison

70%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.7%

0-1 5.4%

0-2 2.2%

0-3 0.6%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 12.8%

1-1 10.2%

1-2 4.1%

1-3 1.1%

1-4 0.2%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 12.1%

2-1 9.7%

2-2 3.9%

2-3 1.0%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 7.7%

3-1 6.2%

3-2 2.5%

3-3 0.7%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 3.7%

4-1 2.9%

4-2 1.2%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.4%

5-1 1.1%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.8%) 2-0 (12.1%) 2-1 (9.7%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · W=Home goals ↓ B=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Wurzburger Kickers Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Burghausen Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Wurzburger Kickers

Overall

7.9 ▼

Scoring

9.0 ▼

Defence

8.0 ▼

Burghausen

Overall

4.2 ▲

Scoring

3.3 ▲

Defence

6.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%

Home Win & BTTS No 26%

Draw & BTTS Yes 13%

Draw & BTTS No 13%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%

Away Win & BTTS No 11%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 21%

Home Win & Under 2.5 31%

Draw & Over 2.5 10%

Draw & Under 2.5 16%

Away Win & Over 2.5 9%

Away Win & Under 2.5 13%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

24.10.25RL

Burghausen1

Wurzburger Kickers1

15.11.24RL

Wurzburger Kickers2

Burghausen0

02.08.24RL

Burghausen2

Wurzburger Kickers0

06.04.24RL

Burghausen0

Wurzburger Kickers1

22.09.23RL

Wurzburger Kickers3

Burghausen0

29.04.23RL

Burghausen0

Wurzburger Kickers2

03.10.22RL

Wurzburger Kickers3

Burghausen1

28.11.14RL

Burghausen0

Wurzburger Kickers0

01.08.14RL

Wurzburger Kickers4

Burghausen0

Recent Form

Wurzburger Kickers

26.04.26RL

Furth II1

Wurzburger Kickers5

21.04.26RL

Wurzburger Kickers1

Bayreuth1

18.04.26RL

Memmingen1

Wurzburger Kickers5

10.04.26RL

Wurzburger Kickers2

Bayern II1

06.04.26RL

Schwaben Augsburg0

Wurzburger Kickers2

02.04.26RL

Wurzburger Kickers5

Hankofen-Hailing0

28.03.26RL

Eichstatt1

Wurzburger Kickers1

20.03.26RL

Wurzburger Kickers4

Aschaffenburg0

14.03.26RL

Augsburg II0

Wurzburger Kickers1

10.03.26RL

Vilzing1

Wurzburger Kickers1

Burghausen

28.04.26RL

Burghausen3

Nurnberg II4

24.04.26RL

Memmingen0

Burghausen1

21.04.26RL

Burghausen1

Furth II3

18.04.26RL

Schwaben Augsburg1

Burghausen0

14.04.26RL

Augsburg II0

Burghausen0

10.04.26RL

Burghausen1

Bayreuth1

06.04.26RL

Hankofen-Hailing0

Burghausen1

01.04.26RL

Burghausen1

Bayern II0

27.03.26RL

Aschaffenburg2

Burghausen2

20.03.26RL

Burghausen0

Buchbach0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ger. Regionalliga Bayern game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash.

The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer. Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed.

By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today. It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look.

When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page. The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.33 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it.

Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Wurzburger Kickers vs Burghausen?

Our selection is 1 — Wurzburger Kickers to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 61%.

What is Wurzburger Kickers's current form?

Wurzburger Kickers have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.

How has Burghausen been performing recently?

Burghausen have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Wurzburger Kickers lead with 6 wins versus Burghausen's 1, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 22%.

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