WON

Result: Velez Mostar 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina

Velez Mostar

Home Side

D W D W D

5W 3D 2L

1-0

Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH

Radnik Bijeljina

Away Side

W D L L L

3W 3D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Velez Mostar to win — Friday, 1st May 2026

Best Odds 1.44

Confidence 47%

Implied Prob 69.4%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Velez Mostar to win

1.44

BTTS — No70%

Implied Prob

69.4%

Based on 1.44 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-22.4%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Velez Mostar

Draws

Radnik Bijeljina

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

2.8

Avg Goals

Against Pick Velez Mostar won 4 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Velez Mostar

Metric

Radnik Bijeljina

1.7

Goals For / Game

0.9

0.7

Goals Against / Game

0.9

40%

Clean Sheet %

50%

5-3-2

W — D — L

3-3-4

Win Rate Comparison

50%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 12.3%

0-1 9.8%

0-2 3.9%

0-3 1.0%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 15.9%

1-1 12.7%

1-2 5.1%

1-3 1.4%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 10.4%

2-1 8.3%

2-2 3.3%

2-3 0.9%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 4.5%

3-1 3.6%

3-2 1.4%

3-3 0.4%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.5%

4-1 1.2%

4-2 0.5%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.4%

5-1 0.3%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (15.9%) 2-0 (10.4%) 2-1 (8.3%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · V=Home goals ↓ R=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Velez Mostar Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Radnik Bijeljina Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Velez Mostar

Overall

5.9 ▲

Scoring

5.7 ▲

Defence

7.7 ▲

Radnik Bijeljina

Overall

3.9 ▲

Scoring

3.0 ▲

Defence

7.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Home Win & BTTS No 32%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 19%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%

Away Win & BTTS No 20%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 20%

Home Win & Under 2.5 25%

Draw & Over 2.5 12%

Draw & Under 2.5 15%

Away Win & Over 2.5 13%

Away Win & Under 2.5 15%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

28.02.26LIG

Radnik Bijeljina1

Velez Mostar0

09.11.25LIG

Velez Mostar1

Radnik Bijeljina0

23.08.25LIG

Radnik Bijeljina3

Velez Mostar0

13.04.25LIG

Velez Mostar3

Radnik Bijeljina2

08.02.25CUP

Velez Mostar2

Radnik Bijeljina1

29.11.24LIG

Velez Mostar2

Radnik Bijeljina1

24.08.24LIG

Radnik Bijeljina4

Velez Mostar3

15.04.22LIG

Radnik Bijeljina0

Velez Mostar0

31.10.21LIG

Velez Mostar1

Radnik Bijeljina2

08.08.21LIG

Radnik Bijeljina1

Velez Mostar1

Recent Form

Velez Mostar

25.04.26LIG

Zeljeznicar0

Velez Mostar0

21.04.26LIG

Velez Mostar3

Siroki Brijeg0

18.04.26LIG

Borac Banja Luka2

Velez Mostar2

15.04.26CUP

Sloga Meridian0

Velez Mostar3

11.04.26LIG

Velez Mostar0

Sloga Meridian0

08.04.26CUP

Velez Mostar3

Sloga Meridian1

03.04.26LIG

Velez Mostar0

Zrinjski1

22.03.26LIG

FK Sarajevo1

Velez Mostar0

15.03.26LIG

Prijedor1

Velez Mostar2

11.03.26CUP

Velez Mostar4

FK Sarajevo1

Radnik Bijeljina

25.04.26LIG

Radnik Bijeljina1

Prijedor0

22.04.26LIG

Posusje1

Radnik Bijeljina1

18.04.26LIG

Radnik Bijeljina1

FK Sarajevo2

15.04.26CUP

Zrinjski2

Radnik Bijeljina0

11.04.26LIG

Radnik Bijeljina0

Zeljeznicar3

08.04.26CUP

Radnik Bijeljina0

Zrinjski0

04.04.26LIG

Radnik Bijeljina2

Siroki Brijeg0

21.03.26LIG

Borac Banja Luka1

Radnik Bijeljina0

17.03.26CUP

Radnik Bijeljina4

Laktasi0

14.03.26LIG

Radnik Bijeljina0

Sloga Meridian0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.44 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Our selection is 1 — Velez Mostar to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 47%.

What is Velez Mostar's current form?

Velez Mostar have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Radnik Bijeljina been performing recently?

Radnik Bijeljina have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Velez Mostar lead with 4 wins versus Radnik Bijeljina's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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