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Result: Crusaders 1-2 Annagh
DirectWinPredict NIFL Premiership Crusaders vs Annagh
C

Crusaders

Home Side
W W W W D
4W 2D 4L
VS
1-2
NIFL Premiership
A
Annagh
Away Side
L L L L D
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing Crusaders to win or draw — Friday, 1st May 2026
Best Odds 1.08
Confidence 90%
Implied Prob 92.6%
Head to Head Record
1
Crusaders
0
Draws
0
Annagh
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
5
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Crusaders
Metric
Annagh
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.9
2
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheet %
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
40%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
C0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 6.9%
0-2 5.0%
0-3 2.4%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
C1
1-0 7.6%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 8.0%
1-3 3.9%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
C2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
C3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 4.7%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (11.0%) 2-1 (8.8%) 1-0 (7.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Crusaders
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.3
Annagh
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
28.04.26NIFL
Annagh2
Crusaders3
Recent Form
Crusaders
28.04.26NIFL
Annagh2
Crusaders3
W
25.04.26NIFL
Crusaders3
Ballymena2
W
18.04.26NIFL
Glenavon0
Crusaders1
W
11.04.26NIFL
Crusaders4
Portadown0
W
07.04.26NIFL
Crusaders1
Bangor FC1
D
28.03.26NIFL
Carrick Rangers6
Crusaders1
L
21.03.26NIFL
Portadown0
Crusaders0
D
14.03.26NIFL
Crusaders0
Glenavon3
L
10.03.26NIFL
Crusaders0
Cliftonville1
L
28.02.26NIFL
Glentoran5
Crusaders1
L
Annagh
28.04.26NIFL
Annagh2
Crusaders3
L
24.04.26CHA
H&W Welders4
Annagh0
L
18.04.26CHA
Annagh0
Limavady2
L
11.04.26CHA
Annagh0
Queens Univ.4
L
04.04.26CHA
Annagh1
Loughgall1
D
27.03.26CHA
Newington1
Annagh0
L
21.03.26CHA
Annagh1
Dundela1
D
14.03.26CHA
Warrenpoint0
Annagh1
W
07.03.26CHA
Annagh3
Ards2
W
03.03.26CHA
Annagh1
Warrenpoint0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Crusaders host Annagh in NIFL Premiership. We recommend Crusaders to win or draw as the standout selection.

Crusaders arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Annagh are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Crusaders, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Annagh's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: crusaders to win or draw at odds of 1.08 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this NIFL Premiership game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1X, and it looks even better when you see the @1.08 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Crusaders vs Annagh?
Our selection is 1X — Crusaders to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.08. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Crusaders's current form?
Crusaders have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Annagh been performing recently?
Annagh have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Crusaders lead with 1 wins versus Annagh's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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