WON
Result: Flora 5-0 Harju JK Laagri
DirectWinPredict Estonia Meistriliiga Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
F

Flora

Home Side
W W L W W
6W 0D 4L
VS
5-0
Estonia Meistriliiga
H
Harju JK Laagri
Away Side
W D W L L
5W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Flora to win — Thursday, 30th April 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 63%
Implied Prob 76.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Flora to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
76.3%
Based on 1.31 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-13.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
8
Flora
0
Draws
1
Harju JK Laagri
9
Meetings
44%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
3.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Flora won 8 of the last 9 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Flora
Metric
Harju JK Laagri
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.7
30%
Clean Sheet %
30%
6-0-4
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
60%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
F0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 1.9%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
F1
1-0 7.3%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 7.2%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
F2
2-0 6.6%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
F3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.2%) 1-0 (7.3%) 2-0 (6.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   H=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Flora Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Harju JK Laagri Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Flora
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.7
Harju JK Laagri
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
22.03.26ML
Harju JK Laagri2
Flora0
04.10.25ML
Harju JK Laagri1
Flora2
16.08.25ML
Flora3
Harju JK Laagri1
09.05.25ML
Harju JK Laagri0
Flora3
22.04.25ML
Flora4
Harju JK Laagri1
22.10.23ML
Harju JK Laagri2
Flora3
25.08.23ML
Flora2
Harju JK Laagri0
19.05.23ML
Harju JK Laagri0
Flora1
03.03.23ML
Flora4
Harju JK Laagri0
Recent Form
Flora
26.04.26ML
Paide1
Flora2
W
22.04.26ML
Flora6
Narva0
W
19.04.26ML
Levadia4
Flora0
L
12.04.26ML
Flora2
Parnu JK Vaprus0
W
07.04.26ML
Flora2
Kuressaare1
W
03.04.26ML
Tammeka3
Flora1
L
22.03.26ML
Harju JK Laagri2
Flora0
L
15.03.26ML
Flora0
Kalju1
L
10.03.26CUP
Flora3
Nomme Utd1
W
07.03.26ML
Flora3
Nomme Utd0
W
Harju JK Laagri
25.04.26ML
Harju JK Laagri1
Tammeka0
W
22.04.26ML
Harju JK Laagri2
Paide2
D
18.04.26ML
Nomme Utd1
Harju JK Laagri2
W
11.04.26ML
Kuressaare3
Harju JK Laagri2
L
08.04.26ML
Harju JK Laagri0
Kalju2
L
04.04.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Harju JK Laagri2
W
22.03.26ML
Harju JK Laagri2
Flora0
W
15.03.26ML
Harju JK Laagri1
Levadia3
L
07.03.26ML
Narva1
Harju JK Laagri2
W
28.02.26CF
Metta5
Harju JK Laagri1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 30th April 2026, Flora host Harju JK Laagri in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Flora to win as the standout selection.

Flora arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Harju JK Laagri are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Flora, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Harju JK Laagri's 1, with 0 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 44% of those meetings.

Our verdict: flora to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Estonia Meistriliiga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.31 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Flora vs Harju JK Laagri?
Our selection is 1 — Flora to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Flora's current form?
Flora have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Harju JK Laagri been performing recently?
Harju JK Laagri have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Flora lead with 8 wins versus Harju JK Laagri's 1, with 0 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 44%.
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