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Result: Dijon 1-2 Chateauroux
DirectWinPredict โ€บ France Nationalโ€บ Dijon vs Chateauroux
D

Dijon

Home Side
W D W L W
6W 3D 1L
VS
1-2
France National
C
Chateauroux
Away Side
L L L D W
1W 2D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Dijon to win โ€” Thursday, 30th April 2026
Best Odds 1.35
Confidence 45%
Implied Prob 74.1%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
โš” Head to Head Record
2
Dijon
5
Draws
3
Chateauroux
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Against Pick Dijon won 2 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
๐Ÿ“Š Key Stats Duel Comparison
Dijon
Metric
Chateauroux
1.6
Goals For / Game
1
1
Goals Against / Game
2.1
40%
Clean Sheet %
0%
6-3-1
W โ€” D โ€” L
1-2-7
Win Rate Comparison
60%
10%
๐ŸŽฏ Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
D0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
D1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.7%) 2-0 (9.9%) 2-1 (9.9%)
โ–  Most likely (tip) โ–  Possible (tip) โ–  Low (tip)  ยท  โ–  Contradicts tip Poisson model ยท D=Home goals โ†“   C=Away goals โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰ Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Dijon Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Chateauroux Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ Team Ratings Grades
Dijon
Overall
6.9 โ€”
Scoring
5.3 โ€”
Defence
6.7 โ€”
Chateauroux
Overall
1.6 โ–ผ
Scoring
3.3 โ–ผ
Defence
3.0 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€ Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
๐Ÿงฎ Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake Amount
โ€”
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
๐Ÿ“œ Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.12.25NAT
Chateauroux0
Dijon0
02.05.25NAT
Chateauroux3
Dijon3
10.01.25NAT
Dijon4
Chateauroux0
09.02.24NAT
Dijon1
Chateauroux1
01.09.23NAT
Chateauroux2
Dijon0
08.05.15L2
Dijon0
Chateauroux1
19.12.14L2
Chateauroux1
Dijon1
06.05.14L2
Dijon2
Chateauroux1
20.12.13L2
Chateauroux3
Dijon1
05.04.13L2
Dijon1
Chateauroux1
Recent Form
Dijon
24.04.26NAT
Valenciennes0
Dijon1
W
17.04.26NAT
Dijon0
Sochaux0
D
10.04.26NAT
Dijon2
Bourg en Bresse0
W
03.04.26NAT
Fleury-Merogis3
Dijon1
L
27.03.26NAT
Dijon3
Versailles1
W
19.03.26NAT
Quevilly Rouen0
Dijon1
W
13.03.26NAT
Dijon2
Aubagne1
W
06.03.26NAT
Concarneau1
Dijon1
D
20.02.26NAT
Villefranche1
Dijon2
W
13.02.26NAT
Dijon3
Caen3
D
Chateauroux
24.04.26NAT
Chateauroux0
Fleury-Merogis2
L
17.04.26NAT
Versailles4
Chateauroux0
L
10.04.26NAT
Chateauroux3
Quevilly Rouen5
L
03.04.26NAT
Aubagne1
Chateauroux1
D
27.03.26NAT
Chateauroux3
Concarneau1
W
17.03.26NAT
Stade Briochin2
Chateauroux0
L
13.03.26NAT
Chateauroux0
Villefranche1
L
06.03.26NAT
Caen2
Chateauroux2
D
27.02.26NAT
Chateauroux0
Paris 13 Atl.1
L
13.02.26NAT
Chateauroux1
Rouen2
L
๐Ÿ“ Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this France National game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.35 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

โ“ Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dijon vs Chateauroux?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Dijon to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Dijon's current form?
Dijon have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Chateauroux been performing recently?
Chateauroux have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dijon lead with 2 wins versus Chateauroux's 3, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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