LOST
Result: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3-3 Khorfakkan
DirectWinPredict UAE League Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan
S

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Home Side
L W W L W
5W 2D 3L
VS
3-3
UAE League
K
Khorfakkan
Away Side
D W L D L
3W 3D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win — Wednesday, 29th April 2026
Best Odds 1.12
Confidence 60%
Implied Prob 89.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
89.3%
Based on 1.12 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-29.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
9
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1
Draws
0
Khorfakkan
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
2.9
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Metric
Khorfakkan
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate Comparison
50%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
S0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 4.6%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
S3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 3.4%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.6%) 2-0 (7.4%) 1-0 (7.2%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   K=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Khorfakkan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Overall
5.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.3
Khorfakkan
Overall
3.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
01.02.26PC
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Khorfakkan1
20.11.25LEA
Khorfakkan0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
23.04.25LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai4
Khorfakkan0
08.12.24LEA
Khorfakkan1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
01.03.24LEA
Khorfakkan0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
27.08.23LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai2
Khorfakkan1
17.03.23LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Khorfakkan1
22.10.22LEA
Khorfakkan0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
26.05.22LEA
Khorfakkan1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai2
11.01.22LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Khorfakkan1
Recent Form
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
21.04.26CL
Machida1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai0
L
18.04.26CL
Buriram2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (2 - 2)3
W
14.04.26CL
Tractor0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
W
10.04.26LEA
Al Ain3
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai2
L
04.04.26LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai2
Al Jazira1
W
21.03.26PC
Al Jazira1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai0
L
16.03.26LEA
Dibba Al Fujairah0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai4
W
11.03.26LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai5
Ittihad Kalba1
W
07.03.26LEA
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
Al Wahda1
D
25.02.26LEA
Al Wasl1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
D
Khorfakkan
11.04.26LEA
Khorfakkan1
Al Bataeh1
D
05.04.26LEA
Khorfakkan2
Bani Yas1
W
16.03.26LEA
Al Jazira3
Khorfakkan1
L
11.03.26LEA
Khorfakkan0
Dibba Al Fujairah0
D
27.02.26LEA
Khorfakkan2
Al Ain3
L
22.02.26LEA
Al Nasr2
Khorfakkan2
D
14.02.26LEA
Khorfakkan2
Ajman5
L
06.02.26LEA
Al Dhafra2
Khorfakkan3
W
01.02.26PC
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Khorfakkan1
L
28.01.26LEA
Al Wasl0
Khorfakkan1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 29th April 2026, Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai host Khorfakkan in UAE League. We recommend Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win as the standout selection.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Khorfakkan are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Khorfakkan's 0, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: shabab al-ahli dubai to win at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this UAE League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.12 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan?
Our selection is 1 — Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to win, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's current form?
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Khorfakkan been performing recently?
Khorfakkan have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai lead with 9 wins versus Khorfakkan's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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