WON
Result: Neftchi Fargona 4-0 Kokand 1912
DirectWinPredict Uzbekistan Super League Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912
N

Neftchi Fargona

Home Side
W W W L W
9W 0D 1L
VS
4-0
Uzbekistan Super League
K
Kokand 1912
Away Side
L D D D D
2W 5D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Neftchi Fargona to win — Wednesday, 29th April 2026
Best Odds 1.22
Confidence 57%
Implied Prob 82%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Neftchi Fargona to win
1.22
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
82%
Based on 1.22 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-25%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Neftchi Fargona
3
Draws
4
Kokand 1912
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.4
Avg Goals
Against Pick Neftchi Fargona won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Neftchi Fargona
Metric
Kokand 1912
2.2
Goals For / Game
1
0.3
Goals Against / Game
1.1
70%
Clean Sheet %
30%
9-0-1
W — D — L
2-5-3
Win Rate Comparison
90%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
N0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 16.5%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 3.5%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 13.7%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 2.9%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (16.5%) 2-0 (13.7%) 2-1 (8.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   K=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Neftchi Fargona Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Kokand 1912 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Neftchi Fargona
Overall
9.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
9.0
Kokand 1912
Overall
3.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
07.08.25SL
Kokand 19121
Neftchi Fargona2
14.03.25SL
Neftchi Fargona0
Kokand 19120
02.08.22SL
Kokand 19123
Neftchi Fargona3
02.03.22SL
Neftchi Fargona1
Kokand 19120
29.11.18SL
Neftchi Fargona0
Kokand 19122
24.10.18SL
Kokand 19122
Neftchi Fargona0
17.08.18SL
Neftchi Fargona1
Kokand 19120
30.05.18CUP
Kokand 19122
Neftchi Fargona (1 - 1)1
10.05.18SL
Kokand 19121
Neftchi Fargona1
26.08.17SL
Kokand 19123
Neftchi Fargona1
Recent Form
Neftchi Fargona
24.04.26SL
Xorazm Urganch0
Neftchi Fargona2
W
18.04.26SL
Neftchi Fargona2
Nasaf Qarshi1
W
14.04.26SL
Bunyodkor0
Neftchi Fargona1
W
09.04.26SL
Neftchi Fargona0
Pakhtakor1
L
04.04.26SL
Qizilqum0
Neftchi Fargona4
W
20.03.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Lok. Tashkent1
W
15.03.26SUC
Neftchi Fargona1
Pakhtakor0
W
10.03.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Andijan0
W
05.03.26SL
Termez Surkhon0
Neftchi Fargona3
W
28.02.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Mashal Muborak0
W
Kokand 1912
24.04.26SL
Qizilqum2
Kokand 19121
L
19.04.26SL
Kokand 19120
Andijan0
D
14.04.26SL
Xorazm Urganch2
Kokand 19122
D
08.04.26SL
Kokand 19121
Nasaf Qarshi1
D
02.04.26SL
Sogdiana2
Kokand 19122
D
18.03.26SL
Kokand 19122
Navbahor Namangan1
W
11.03.26SL
Lok. Tashkent0
Kokand 19120
D
04.03.26SL
Kokand 19121
Pakhtakor2
L
27.02.26SL
Buxoro1
Kokand 19120
L
06.02.26CF
Kokand 19121
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 29th April 2026, Neftchi Fargona host Kokand 1912 in Uzbekistan Super League. We recommend Neftchi Fargona to win as the standout selection.

Neftchi Fargona arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kokand 1912 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 5D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Neftchi Fargona, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Kokand 1912's 4, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: neftchi fargona to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Uzbekistan Super League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.22 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912?
Our selection is 1 — Neftchi Fargona to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Neftchi Fargona's current form?
Neftchi Fargona have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kokand 1912 been performing recently?
Kokand 1912 have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Neftchi Fargona lead with 3 wins versus Kokand 1912's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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