WON

Result: Al Hilal 1-0 Damac

Al Hilal

Home Side

L W D W W

6W 3D 1L

1-0

Saudi Professional League

Damac

Away Side

W D L W W

4W 2D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Al Hilal to win — Tuesday, 28th April 2026

Best Odds 1.14

Confidence 56%

Implied Prob 87.7%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Al Hilal to win

1.14

Over 1.5 Goals90%

Implied Prob

87.7%

Based on 1.14 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-31.7%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Al Hilal

Draws

Damac

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

50%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Al Hilal won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Al Hilal

Metric

Damac

2.7

Goals For / Game

1.3

Goals Against / Game

1.3

30%

Clean Sheet %

20%

6-3-1

W — D — L

4-2-4

Win Rate Comparison

60%

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 3.7%

0-1 4.8%

0-2 3.1%

0-3 1.4%

0-4 0.4%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 7.4%

1-1 9.6%

1-2 6.2%

1-3 2.7%

1-4 0.9%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 7.4%

2-1 9.6%

2-2 6.2%

2-3 2.7%

2-4 0.9%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.9%

3-1 6.4%

3-2 4.2%

3-3 1.8%

3-4 0.6%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 2.5%

4-1 3.2%

4-2 2.1%

4-3 0.9%

4-4 0.3%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 1.3%

5-2 0.8%

5-3 0.4%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.6%) 1-0 (7.4%) 2-0 (7.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ D=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Al Hilal Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Damac Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Al Hilal

Overall

6.9 —

Scoring

9.0 —

Defence

5.7 —

Damac

Overall

4.6 ▼

Scoring

4.3 ▼

Defence

5.7 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%

Home Win & BTTS No 19%

Draw & BTTS Yes 12%

Draw & BTTS No 8%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%

Away Win & BTTS No 13%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 29%

Home Win & Under 2.5 19%

Draw & Over 2.5 12%

Draw & Under 2.5 8%

Away Win & Over 2.5 19%

Away Win & Under 2.5 13%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

04.01.26SPL

Damac0

Al Hilal2

08.02.25SPL

Damac2

Al Hilal2

28.08.24SPL

Al Hilal3

Damac2

16.03.24SPL

Al Hilal2

Damac1

21.09.23SPL

Damac1

Al Hilal1

19.05.23SPL

Damac0

Al Hilal1

31.12.22SPL

Al Hilal2

Damac2

07.05.22SPL

Damac2

Al Hilal4

04.11.21SPL

Al Hilal2

Damac0

14.02.21SPL

Damac1

Al Hilal0

Recent Form

Al Hilal

13.04.26CL

Al Hilal3

Al-Sadd (3 - 3)4

08.04.26SPL

Al Hilal6

Al Kholood0

04.04.26SPL

Al Hilal2

Al Taawon2

18.03.26KC

Al Ahli SC1

Al Hilal (1 - 1)2

14.03.26SPL

Al Fateh0

Al Hilal1

06.03.26SPL

Al Hilal4

Al Najma0

27.02.26SPL

Al Shabab3

Al Hilal5

24.02.26SPL

Al Taawon1

Al Hilal1

21.02.26SPL

Al Hilal1

Al Ittihad1

16.02.26CL

Al Hilal2

Al Wahda1

Damac

23.04.26SPL

Damac2

Al Okhdood0

09.04.26SPL

Damac1

Al Qadsiah1

04.04.26SPL

Al Ahli SC3

Damac0

12.03.26SPL

Al Najma1

Damac3

05.03.26SPL

Damac3

Al Riyadh0

26.02.26SPL

Al Fateh1

Damac1

23.02.26SPL

Damac0

Al Ahli SC1

20.02.26SPL

Damac1

Al Shabab3

12.02.26SPL

Damac2

Al Taawon1

06.02.26SPL

Al Ettifaq2

Damac0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 28th April 2026, Al Hilal host Damac in Saudi Professional League. We recommend Al Hilal to win as the standout selection.

Al Hilal arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Damac are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Hilal, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Damac's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al hilal to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Saudi Professional League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.14 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al Hilal vs Damac?

Our selection is 1 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

What is Al Hilal's current form?

Al Hilal have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Damac been performing recently?

Damac have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Hilal lead with 6 wins versus Damac's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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