LOST

Result: Besiktas 0-0 Karagumruk

Besiktas

Home Side

W L W L W

7W 0D 3L

0-0

Turkey Super Lig

Karagumruk

Away Side

L L W L W

3W 2D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Besiktas to win — Monday, 27th April 2026

Best Odds 1.33

Confidence 59%

Implied Prob 75.2%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Besiktas

Draws

Karagumruk

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

30%

Over 2.5

2.2

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Besiktas won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Besiktas

Metric

Karagumruk

2.1

Goals For / Game

1.1

0.8

Goals Against / Game

1.4

40%

Clean Sheet %

30%

7-0-3

W — D — L

3-2-5

Win Rate Comparison

70%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.7%

0-1 6.4%

0-2 3.0%

0-3 1.0%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 11.8%

1-1 11.2%

1-2 5.3%

1-3 1.7%

1-4 0.4%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 10.3%

2-1 9.8%

2-2 4.6%

2-3 1.5%

2-4 0.4%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 6.0%

3-1 5.7%

3-2 2.7%

3-3 0.9%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.6%

4-1 2.5%

4-2 1.2%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.9%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.8%) 2-0 (10.3%) 2-1 (9.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ K=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Besiktas Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Karagumruk Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Besiktas

Overall

7.0 ▲

Scoring

7.0 ▲

Defence

7.3 ▲

Karagumruk

Overall

3.6 ▼

Scoring

3.7 ▼

Defence

5.3 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%

Home Win & BTTS No 35%

Draw & BTTS Yes 4%

Draw & BTTS No 5%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Away Win & BTTS No 15%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 35%

Home Win & Under 2.5 29%

Draw & Over 2.5 5%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 15%

Away Win & Under 2.5 12%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

30.11.25SL

Karagumruk0

Besiktas2

28.03.24CF

Besiktas1

Karagumruk1

13.01.24SL

Besiktas3

Karagumruk0

14.08.23SL

Karagumruk0

Besiktas1

31.01.23SL

Karagumruk1

Besiktas1

02.12.22CF

Besiktas1

Karagumruk1

21.08.22SL

Besiktas4

Karagumruk1

18.01.22SL

Karagumruk0

Besiktas1

28.08.21SL

Besiktas1

Karagumruk0

11.05.21SL

Besiktas1

Karagumruk2

Recent Form

Besiktas

23.04.26CUP

Besiktas3

Alanyaspor0

19.04.26SL

Samsunspor2

Besiktas1

10.04.26SL

Besiktas4

Antalyaspor2

05.04.26SL

Fenerbahce1

Besiktas0

19.03.26SL

Besiktas2

Kasimpasa1

15.03.26SL

Genclerbirligi0

Besiktas2

07.03.26SL

Besiktas0

Galatasaray1

04.03.26CUP

Besiktas4

Rizespor1

28.02.26SL

Kocaelispor0

Besiktas1

22.02.26SL

Besiktas4

Goztepe0

Karagumruk

18.04.26SL

Karagumruk1

Eyupspor2

12.04.26SL

Konyaspor3

Karagumruk0

05.04.26SL

Karagumruk2

Rizespor1

19.03.26SL

Kayserispor1

Karagumruk0

13.03.26SL

Karagumruk2

Fenerbahce0

08.03.26SL

Gaziantep1

Karagumruk1

03.03.26CUP

Fethiyespor0

Karagumruk2

27.02.26SL

Trabzonspor3

Karagumruk1

22.02.26SL

Karagumruk0

Samsunspor0

16.02.26SL

Kasimpasa3

Karagumruk2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Turkey Super Lig game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.33 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Besiktas vs Karagumruk?

Our selection is 1 — Besiktas to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 59%.

What is Besiktas's current form?

Besiktas have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has Karagumruk been performing recently?

Karagumruk have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Besiktas lead with 6 wins versus Karagumruk's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

🔗 More Tips Today Related