WON

Result: Vikingur Reykjavik 4-0 Akranes

Vikingur Reykjavik

Q: What is the recommended bet for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Akranes?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 74%.

Home Side

W W D W W

5W 2D 3L

4-0

Iceland Besta deild karla

Akranes

Away Side

D L D W W

4W 3D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Over 2.5

Backing over 2.5 goals — Monday, 27th April 2026

Best Odds 1.38

Confidence 74%

Implied Prob 72.5%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals

1.38

Over 1.5 Goals90%

Implied Prob

72.5%

Based on 1.38 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

+1.5%

Value exists

Kelly Stake %

5.6%

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Vikingur Reykjavik

Draws

Akranes

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

70%

Over 2.5

3.6

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Vikingur Reykjavik

Metric

Akranes

1.8

Goals For / Game

2.3

1.2

Goals Against / Game

1.6

20%

Clean Sheet %

10%

5-2-3

W — D — L

4-3-3

Win Rate Comparison

50%

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 3.2%

0-1 5.6%

0-2 4.9%

0-3 2.8%

0-4 1.2%

0-5 0.4%

1-0 5.4%

1-1 9.4%

1-2 8.3%

1-3 4.8%

1-4 2.1%

1-5 0.7%

2-0 4.6%

2-1 8.0%

2-2 7.0%

2-3 4.1%

2-4 1.8%

2-5 0.6%

3-0 2.6%

3-1 4.6%

3-2 4.0%

3-3 2.3%

3-4 1.0%

3-5 0.4%

4-0 1.1%

4-1 1.9%

4-2 1.7%

4-3 1.0%

4-4 0.4%

4-5 0.2%

5-0 0.4%

5-1 0.7%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (9.4%) 1-2 (8.3%) 2-1 (8.0%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · V=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Vikingur Reykjavik

Overall

5.6 ▼

Scoring

6.0 ▼

Defence

6.0 ▼

Akranes

Overall

4.9 —

Scoring

7.7 —

Defence

4.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%

Home Win & BTTS No 15%

Draw & BTTS Yes 14%

Draw & BTTS No 8%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%

Away Win & BTTS No 12%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 24%

Home Win & Under 2.5 19%

Draw & Over 2.5 12%

Draw & Under 2.5 10%

Away Win & Over 2.5 19%

Away Win & Under 2.5 16%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

06.12.25CF

Vikingur Reykjavik5

Akranes3

17.08.25BK

Akranes0

Vikingur Reykjavik1

24.05.25BK

Vikingur Reykjavik2

Akranes1

19.10.24BK

Akranes3

Vikingur Reykjavik4

19.08.24BK

Vikingur Reykjavik1

Akranes2

25.05.24BK

Akranes0

Vikingur Reykjavik1

28.02.24CUP

Akranes1

Vikingur Reykjavik1

09.07.22BK

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Akranes2

24.04.22BK

Akranes3

Vikingur Reykjavik0

16.10.21CUP

Akranes0

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Recent Form

Vikingur Reykjavik

23.04.26BK

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Stjarnan2

17.04.26BK

KA Akureyri0

Vikingur Reykjavik2

10.04.26BK

Vikingur Reykjavik1

Breidablik1

04.04.26CUP

Fram2

Vikingur Reykjavik4

29.03.26SC

Vikingur Reykjavik4

Vestri0

04.03.26CUP

Vikingur Reykjavik2

IR Reykjavik0

25.02.26CUP

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Throttur1

19.02.26CUP

Vikingur Reykjavik1

KR Reykjavik0

15.02.26CUP

KA Akureyri2

Vikingur Reykjavik0

07.02.26CUP

Vikingur Reykjavik1

Njardvik1

Akranes

22.04.26BK

Akranes1

KA Akureyri1

17.04.26BK

Breidablik1

Akranes0

12.04.26BK

Fram3

Akranes3

06.04.26CUP

Akranes4

Haukar0

26.02.26CUP

Akranes2

Valur1

22.02.26CUP

Volsungur1

Akranes5

11.02.26CUP

Grotta1

Akranes3

07.02.26CUP

Akranes1

Thor Akureyri1

29.01.26CUP

Akranes1

Afturelding2

06.12.25CF

Vikingur Reykjavik5

Akranes3

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Iceland Besta deild karla game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Akranes?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 74%.

What is Vikingur Reykjavik's current form?

Vikingur Reykjavik have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has Akranes been performing recently?

Akranes have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Vikingur Reykjavik lead with 7 wins versus Akranes's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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