WON
Result: Egersund 3-0 Ranheim
DirectWinPredict Norway OBOS-Ligaen Egersund vs Ranheim
E

Egersund

Home Side
W W W L D
4W 3D 3L
VS
3-0
Norway OBOS-Ligaen
R
Ranheim
Away Side
W W D D L
3W 3D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Monday, 27th April 2026
Best Odds 1.44
Confidence 79%
Implied Prob 69.4%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.44
Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
69.4%
Based on 1.44 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+9.6%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
31.3%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Egersund
0
Draws
2
Ranheim
6
Meetings
67%
BTTS Rate
83%
Over 2.5
4.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 83% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Egersund
Metric
Ranheim
2
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.6
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
4-3-3
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate Comparison
40%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
E0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 5.1%
0-2 4.4%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 1.1%
0-5 0.4%
E1
1-0 5.4%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 7.9%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.6%
E2
2-0 4.9%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 4.0%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
E3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.4%
E4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
E5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (9.2%) 2-1 (8.3%) 1-2 (7.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · E=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Egersund
Overall
4.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
4.3
Ranheim
Overall
3.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
22.11.25OBO
Egersund3
Ranheim2
04.10.25OBO
Ranheim0
Egersund4
15.06.25OBO
Egersund3
Ranheim4
07.05.25NMC
Ranheim2
Egersund (2 - 2)3
16.09.24OBO
Egersund0
Ranheim2
11.05.24OBO
Ranheim1
Egersund3
Recent Form
Egersund
19.04.26OBO
Egersund1
Bryne0
W
11.04.26OBO
Strommen0
Egersund3
W
28.03.26CF
Egersund4
Bryne3
W
21.03.26CF
Haugesund2
Egersund0
L
13.03.26CF
Stabaek1
Egersund1
D
09.03.26NMC
Egersund2
Aalesund3
L
27.02.26CF
Egersund3
Sandnes3
D
15.02.26CF
Kristiansund1
Egersund1
D
31.01.26CF
Egersund4
Vidar1
W
26.11.25OBO
Aalesund3
Egersund1
L
Ranheim
17.04.26OBO
Ranheim5
Raufoss1
W
12.04.26OBO
Bryne2
Ranheim3
W
28.03.26CF
Ranheim0
Ostersund0
D
08.03.26CF
Kristiansund1
Ranheim1
D
02.03.26CF
Sandefjord1
Ranheim0
L
22.02.26CF
Stabaek5
Ranheim2
L
19.02.26CF
Ranheim1
Rosenborg2
L
06.02.26CF
Ranheim3
Brattvag1
W
31.01.26CF
Stjordals Blink0
Ranheim0
D
22.11.25OBO
Egersund3
Ranheim2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 27th April 2026, Egersund host Ranheim in Norway OBOS-Ligaen. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Egersund arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ranheim are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Egersund, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Ranheim's 2, with 0 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.44 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Norway OBOS-Ligaen game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.44 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Egersund vs Ranheim?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Egersund's current form?
Egersund have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ranheim been performing recently?
Ranheim have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Egersund lead with 4 wins versus Ranheim's 2, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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