WON

Result: Genoa W 1-2 Inter Milan W

Genoa W

Home Side

L D D L L

0W 3D 7L

1-2

Serie A Women

Inter Milan W

Away Side

W L D W D

6W 2D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Inter Milan W to win — Saturday, 25th April 2026

Best Odds 1.21

Confidence 66%

Implied Prob 82.6%

20%

30%

50%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Genoa W

Draws

Inter Milan W

Meetings

25%

BTTS Rate

100%

Over 2.5

5.3

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Inter Milan W won 4 of 4 meetings.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Genoa W

Metric

Inter Milan W

0.9

Goals For / Game

2.3

2.1

Goals Against / Game

10%

Clean Sheet %

40%

0-3-7

W — D — L

6-2-2

Win Rate Comparison

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 4.3%

0-1 9.4%

0-2 10.4%

0-3 7.6%

0-4 4.2%

0-5 1.8%

1-0 4.1%

1-1 9.0%

1-2 9.9%

1-3 7.2%

1-4 4.0%

1-5 1.8%

2-0 1.9%

2-1 4.3%

2-2 4.7%

2-3 3.4%

2-4 1.9%

2-5 0.8%

3-0 0.6%

3-1 1.4%

3-2 1.5%

3-3 1.1%

3-4 0.6%

3-5 0.3%

4-0 0.2%

4-1 0.3%

4-2 0.4%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.0%

5-1 0.1%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 0-2 (10.4%) 1-2 (9.9%) 0-1 (9.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓ I=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Genoa W Win

20%

Draw

30%

3.33

Inter Milan W Win

50%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Genoa W

Overall

0.9 —

Scoring

3.0 —

Defence

3.0 —

Inter Milan W

Overall

6.6 ▲

Scoring

7.7 ▲

Defence

6.7 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Home Win & BTTS No 0%

Draw & BTTS Yes 17%

Draw & BTTS No 12%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 43%

Away Win & BTTS No 28%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 0%

Home Win & Under 2.5 0%

Draw & Over 2.5 17%

Draw & Under 2.5 12%

Away Win & Over 2.5 43%

Away Win & Under 2.5 28%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

07.12.25SA

Inter W5

Genoa0

22.08.25CUP

Genoa W1

Inter2

17.02.19SB

Inter W7

Genoa0

04.11.18SB

Genoa W0

Inter6

Recent Form

Genoa W

04.04.26SA

Napoli W4

Genoa W1

21.03.26SA

Genoa W0

Juventus W0

14.03.26SA

Parma W1

Genoa W1

21.02.26SA

Genoa W0

Como W1

14.02.26SA

Ternana W3

Genoa W1

07.02.26SA

Genoa W2

Lazio W5

01.02.26SA

AC Milan W2

Genoa W1

25.01.26SA

Genoa W0

AS Roma W1

17.01.26SA

Fiorentina W1

Genoa W1

21.12.25COP

Genoa W2

AC Milan W3

Inter Milan W

04.04.26SA

Inter W5

Lazio W2

29.03.26COP

Inter W1

AS Roma W2

21.03.26SA

Inter W2

Napoli W2

16.03.26SA

Sassuolo W0

Inter W3

12.03.26COP

AS Roma W1

Inter W1

22.02.26SA

Inter W0

AS Roma W1

15.02.26SA

Parma W2

Inter W3

08.02.26SA

Inter W3

Fiorentina W0

01.02.26SA

Ternana W0

Inter W1

28.01.26COP

Inter W4

Ternana W0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 25th April 2026, Genoa W host Inter Milan W in Serie A Women. We recommend Inter Milan W to win as the standout selection.

Genoa W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Inter Milan W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Genoa W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Inter Milan W's 4, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: inter milan w to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Serie A Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.21 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Genoa W vs Inter Milan W?

Our selection is 2 — Inter Milan W to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 66%.

What is Genoa W's current form?

Genoa W have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.

How has Inter Milan W been performing recently?

Inter Milan W have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Genoa W lead with 0 wins versus Inter Milan W's 4, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.

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