WON
Result: FK Zorya Luhansk 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk
DirectWinPredict Ukraine Premier League FK Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk
F

FK Zorya Luhansk

Home Side
L W D D L
3W 4D 3L
VS
1-2
Ukraine Premier League
S
Shakhtar Donetsk
Away Side
W D D W W
7W 2D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Shakhtar Donetsk to win — Thursday, 23rd April 2026
Best Odds 1.32
Confidence 61%
Implied Prob 75.8%
H
30%
D
20%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Shakhtar Donetsk to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals70% Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
75.8%
Based on 1.32 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-14.8%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
FK Zorya Luhansk
2
Draws
7
Shakhtar Donetsk
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.8
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Shakhtar Donetsk won 7 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
FK Zorya Luhansk
Metric
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.8
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheet %
60%
3-4-3
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate Comparison
30%
70%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
F0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 6.9%
0-3 4.2%
0-4 1.9%
0-5 0.7%
F1
1-0 5.8%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 5.6%
1-4 2.5%
1-5 0.9%
F2
2-0 3.9%
2-1 7.0%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
F3
3-0 1.8%
3-1 3.2%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
F4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.4%) 0-1 (7.7%) 0-2 (6.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
FK Zorya Luhansk Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Shakhtar Donetsk Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
FK Zorya Luhansk
Overall
4.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
4.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 10%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
22.09.25PL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Zorya Luhansk0
09.05.25PL
Zorya Luhansk0
Shakhtar Donetsk0
10.11.24PL
Shakhtar Donetsk3
Zorya Luhansk1
30.10.24CUP
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Zorya Luhansk0
22.04.24PL
Shakhtar Donetsk2
Zorya Luhansk1
18.04.24PL
Zorya Luhansk1
Shakhtar Donetsk3
24.05.23PL
Zorya Luhansk0
Shakhtar Donetsk3
13.11.22PL
Shakhtar Donetsk2
Zorya Luhansk2
15.10.21PL
Shakhtar Donetsk6
Zorya Luhansk1
28.02.21PL
Shakhtar Donetsk0
Zorya Luhansk1
Recent Form
FK Zorya Luhansk
17.04.26PL
Dyn. Kyiv3
FK Zorya Luhansk1
L
12.04.26PL
FK Zorya Luhansk1
Epitsentr0
W
05.04.26PL
Obolon3
FK Zorya Luhansk3
D
28.03.26CF
FK Zorya Luhansk2
Kolos Kovalivka2
D
24.03.26CF
FK Zorya Luhansk2
Kudrivka4
L
15.03.26PL
Kolos Kovalivka1
FK Zorya Luhansk1
D
08.03.26PL
FK Zorya Luhansk4
SC Poltava0
W
01.03.26PL
Kryvbas3
FK Zorya Luhansk1
L
23.02.26PL
Kudrivka2
FK Zorya Luhansk2
D
13.02.26CF
FK Zorya Luhansk3
Auda0
W
Shakhtar Donetsk
20.04.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Polissya Zhytomyr0
W
16.04.26UECL
AZ Alkmaar2
Shakhtar Donetsk2
D
13.04.26PL
LNZ Cherkasy2
Shakhtar Donetsk2
D
09.04.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk3
AZ Alkmaar0
W
05.04.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk3
Rukh Lviv0
W
19.03.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Lech Poznan2
L
15.03.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Metalist 19250
W
12.03.26UECL
Lech Poznan1
Shakhtar Donetsk3
W
06.03.26PL
Oleksandriya0
Shakhtar Donetsk1
W
27.02.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Veres-Rivne0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 23rd April 2026, FK Zorya Luhansk host Shakhtar Donetsk in Ukraine Premier League. We recommend Shakhtar Donetsk to win as the standout selection.

FK Zorya Luhansk arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Shakhtar Donetsk are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FK Zorya Luhansk, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Shakhtar Donetsk's 7, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: shakhtar donetsk to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ukraine Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FK Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our selection is 2 — Shakhtar Donetsk to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is FK Zorya Luhansk's current form?
FK Zorya Luhansk have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shakhtar Donetsk been performing recently?
Shakhtar Donetsk have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FK Zorya Luhansk lead with 1 wins versus Shakhtar Donetsk's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.