LOST
Result: G.A. Eagles 0-0 AZ Alkmaar
DirectWinPredict Eredivisie G.A. Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar
G

G.A. Eagles

Home Side
D W L W L
4W 2D 4L
VS
0-0
Eredivisie
A
AZ Alkmaar
Away Side
W D W L W
6W 1D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Thursday, 23rd April 2026
Best Odds 1.42
Confidence 84%
Implied Prob 70.4%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — No65%
Implied Prob
70.4%
Based on 1.42 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+13.6%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
45.9%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
G.A. Eagles
2
Draws
7
AZ Alkmaar
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
G.A. Eagles
Metric
AZ Alkmaar
1.9
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheet %
40%
4-2-4
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate Comparison
40%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
G0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 6.6%
0-2 5.6%
0-3 3.2%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.5%
G1
1-0 6.0%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 4.9%
1-4 2.1%
1-5 0.7%
G2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 7.9%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
G3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
G4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (10.2%) 1-2 (8.7%) 2-1 (7.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
G.A. Eagles
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
AZ Alkmaar
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 36%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
07.12.25ERE
AZ Alkmaar2
Go Ahead Eagles2
04.05.25ERE
Go Ahead Eagles0
AZ Alkmaar3
21.04.25KNV
AZ Alkmaar1
Go Ahead Eagles2
27.10.24ERE
AZ Alkmaar2
Go Ahead Eagles2
12.05.24ERE
Go Ahead Eagles0
AZ Alkmaar3
13.08.23ERE
AZ Alkmaar5
Go Ahead Eagles1
25.01.23ERE
Go Ahead Eagles1
AZ Alkmaar4
07.08.22ERE
AZ Alkmaar2
Go Ahead Eagles0
13.02.22ERE
Go Ahead Eagles1
AZ Alkmaar4
26.09.21ERE
AZ Alkmaar5
Go Ahead Eagles0
Recent Form
G.A. Eagles
11.04.26ERE
Groningen0
G.A. Eagles0
D
05.04.26ERE
G.A. Eagles5
Zwolle0
W
22.03.26ERE
Utrecht2
G.A. Eagles0
L
15.03.26ERE
G.A. Eagles6
NAC Breda0
W
08.03.26ERE
G.A. Eagles1
Twente4
L
01.03.26ERE
Excelsior0
G.A. Eagles1
W
22.02.26ERE
G.A. Eagles4
Heracles0
W
15.02.26ERE
Feyenoord1
G.A. Eagles0
L
11.02.26ERE
G.A. Eagles1
Heerenveen3
L
08.02.26ERE
G.A. Eagles1
Telstar1
D
AZ Alkmaar
19.04.26KNV
AZ Alkmaar5
Nijmegen1
W
16.04.26UECL
AZ Alkmaar2
Shakhtar Donetsk2
D
12.04.26ERE
AZ Alkmaar3
Heerenveen0
W
09.04.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk3
AZ Alkmaar0
L
04.04.26ERE
AZ Alkmaar2
Sittard0
W
22.03.26ERE
Groningen3
AZ Alkmaar0
L
19.03.26UECL
Sparta Prague0
AZ Alkmaar4
W
15.03.26ERE
AZ Alkmaar4
Heracles0
W
12.03.26UECL
AZ Alkmaar2
Sparta Prague1
W
07.03.26ERE
PSV2
AZ Alkmaar1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Eredivisie game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.42 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for G.A. Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 84%.
What is G.A. Eagles's current form?
G.A. Eagles have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has AZ Alkmaar been performing recently?
AZ Alkmaar have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
G.A. Eagles lead with 1 wins versus AZ Alkmaar's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.