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Result: Esperance Tunis 2-2 Zarzis

Esperance Tunis

Home Side

L L D W W

5W 2D 3L

2-2

Tunisian League

Zarzis

Away Side

W D W L D

0W 6D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Esperance Tunis to win — Thursday, 23rd April 2026

Best Odds 1.30

Confidence 53%

Implied Prob 76.9%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Esperance Tunis to win

1.30

Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No75%

Implied Prob

76.9%

Based on 1.30 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-23.9%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Esperance Tunis

Draws

Zarzis

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

50%

Over 2.5

2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Esperance Tunis won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Esperance Tunis

Metric

Zarzis

1.4

Goals For / Game

0.3

0.6

Goals Against / Game

0.9

50%

Clean Sheet %

40%

5-2-3

W — D — L

0-6-4

Win Rate Comparison

50%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 20.2%

0-1 9.1%

0-2 2.0%

0-3 0.3%

0-4 0.0%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 23.2%

1-1 10.5%

1-2 2.4%

1-3 0.4%

1-4 0.0%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 13.4%

2-1 6.0%

2-2 1.4%

2-3 0.2%

2-4 0.0%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 5.1%

3-1 2.3%

3-2 0.5%

3-3 0.1%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.5%

4-1 0.7%

4-2 0.2%

4-3 0.0%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.3%

5-1 0.2%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (23.2%) 2-0 (13.4%) 2-1 (6.0%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · E=Home goals ↓ Z=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Esperance Tunis Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Zarzis Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Esperance Tunis

Overall

5.6 ▲

Scoring

4.7 ▲

Defence

8.0 ▲

Zarzis

Overall

1.8 ▼

Scoring

1.0 ▼

Defence

7.0 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Home Win & BTTS No 42%

Draw & BTTS Yes 11%

Draw & BTTS No 33%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 14%

Home Win & Under 2.5 42%

Draw & Over 2.5 11%

Draw & Under 2.5 33%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

22.10.25LP1

Zarzis0

Esperance Tunis0

18.05.25CUP

Esperance Tunis3

Zarzis1

19.02.25LP1

Esperance Tunis4

Zarzis2

20.10.24LP1

Zarzis1

Esperance Tunis0

27.04.18LP1

Zarzis1

Esperance Tunis0

29.11.17LP1

Esperance Tunis2

Zarzis0

19.02.17CUP

Esperance Tunis2

Zarzis0

29.05.16LP1

Zarzis1

Esperance Tunis2

30.12.15LP1

Esperance Tunis1

Zarzis2

22.03.15LP1

Esperance Tunis2

Zarzis1

Recent Form

Esperance Tunis

18.04.26CL

Mamelodi Sundowns1

Esperance Tunis0

12.04.26CL

Esperance Tunis0

Mamelodi Sundowns1

04.04.26LP1

Etoile Sahel0

Esperance Tunis0

28.03.26CUP

WS Hamma0

Esperance Tunis5

21.03.26CL

Al Ahly2

Esperance Tunis3

15.03.26CL

Esperance Tunis1

Al Ahly0

07.03.26LP1

Esperance Tunis1

AS Marsa0

01.03.26LP1

Olympique Beja0

Esperance Tunis3

25.02.26LP1

Metlaoui1

Esperance Tunis1

21.02.26LP1

Esperance Tunis1

Stade Tunisien0

Zarzis

19.04.26CUP

Monastir1

Zarzis (1 - 3 Pens)1

04.04.26LP1

Zarzis0

Stade Tunisien0

22.03.26CUP

Zarzis0

Korba (Penalties)0

06.03.26LP1

Soliman1

Zarzis0

27.02.26LP1

Zarzis1

JS Kairouan1

15.02.26LP1

Monastir3

Zarzis0

07.02.26LP1

Zarzis0

AS Gabes1

31.01.26LP1

Ben Guerdane0

Zarzis0

27.01.26LP1

Zarzis0

Club Africain0

23.01.26LP1

JS Omrane2

Zarzis1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Tunisian League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.30 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Esperance Tunis vs Zarzis?

Our selection is 1 — Esperance Tunis to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 53%.

What is Esperance Tunis's current form?

Esperance Tunis have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has Zarzis been performing recently?

Zarzis have recorded 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Esperance Tunis lead with 6 wins versus Zarzis's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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