WON
Result: Kalju 7-1 Nomme Utd
DirectWinPredict Estonia Meistriliiga Kalju vs Nomme Utd
K

Kalju

Home Side
L D W W W
6W 2D 2L
VS
7-1
Estonia Meistriliiga
N
Nomme Utd
Away Side
L W L D L
4W 1D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Kalju to win — Wednesday, 22nd April 2026
Best Odds 1.34
Confidence 53%
Implied Prob 74.6%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kalju to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
74.6%
Based on 1.34 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-21.6%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Kalju
2
Draws
0
Nomme Utd
4
Meetings
25%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.3
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Kalju won 2 of the last 4 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Kalju
Metric
Nomme Utd
1.6
Goals For / Game
2.6
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheet %
10%
6-2-2
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
60%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
K0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 2.6%
0-4 1.1%
0-5 0.4%
K1
1-0 6.0%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 1.8%
1-5 0.6%
K2
2-0 5.1%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.5%
K3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 4.7%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 2.2%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
K4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
K5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.4%) 1-0 (6.0%) 2-0 (5.1%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓   N=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Kalju Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Nomme Utd Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Kalju
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.7
Nomme Utd
Overall
4.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
18.09.24ML
Kalju3
Nomme Utd0
19.07.24ML
Nomme Utd0
Kalju4
28.05.24ML
Kalju1
Nomme Utd1
17.03.24ML
Nomme Utd0
Kalju0
Recent Form
Kalju
19.04.26ML
Paide1
Kalju0
L
12.04.26ML
Kalju1
Levadia1
D
08.04.26ML
Harju JK Laagri0
Kalju2
W
03.04.26ML
Kalju2
Narva1
W
21.03.26ML
Kalju4
Kuressaare0
W
15.03.26ML
Flora0
Kalju1
W
08.03.26ML
Tammeka0
Kalju1
W
28.02.26SC
Flora1
Kalju3
W
21.02.26CF
Kalju1
Super Nova1
D
14.02.26CF
Paide2
Kalju1
L
Nomme Utd
18.04.26ML
Nomme Utd1
Harju JK Laagri2
L
11.04.26ML
Nomme Utd5
Narva1
W
08.04.26ML
Paide3
Nomme Utd1
L
04.04.26ML
Levadia1
Nomme Utd1
D
21.03.26ML
Nomme Utd2
Tammeka3
L
14.03.26ML
Nomme Utd7
Parnu JK Vaprus1
W
10.03.26CUP
Flora3
Nomme Utd1
L
07.03.26ML
Flora3
Nomme Utd0
L
20.02.26CF
Viimsi JK1
Nomme Utd5
W
14.02.26CF
Nomme Utd3
FC Tallinn0
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 22nd April 2026, Kalju host Nomme Utd in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Kalju to win as the standout selection.

Kalju arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Nomme Utd are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kalju, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Nomme Utd's 0, with 2 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kalju to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Estonia Meistriliiga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.34 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kalju vs Nomme Utd?
Our selection is 1 — Kalju to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Kalju's current form?
Kalju have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Nomme Utd been performing recently?
Nomme Utd have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kalju lead with 2 wins versus Nomme Utd's 0, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
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