WON
Result: Al Nassr 5-1 Al Ahli Doha
DirectWinPredict AFC Champions League 2 Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Doha
A

Al Nassr

Home Side
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L
VS
5-1
AFC Champions League 2
A
Al Ahli Doha
Away Side
W W D W D
4W 3D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Al Nassr to win — Wednesday, 22nd April 2026
Best Odds 1.15
Confidence 68%
Implied Prob 87%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Nassr to win
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% Al Nassr Clean Sheet80%
Implied Prob
87%
Based on 1.15 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-19%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Nassr
Metric
Al Ahli Doha
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.9
0.3
Goals Against / Game
1.6
80%
Clean Sheet %
10%
10-0-0
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate Comparison
100%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 7.5%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 8.8%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.3%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 6.9%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 4.4%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 1.9%
5-1 2.1%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.6%) 2-0 (8.8%) 3-1 (7.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Al Nassr Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Ahli Doha Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Nassr
Overall
10.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
9.0
Al Ahli Doha
Overall
4.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 46%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Al Nassr
19.04.26CL2
Al Wasl0
Al Nassr4
W
15.04.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Al Ettifaq0
W
11.04.26SPL
Al Okhdood0
Al Nassr2
W
03.04.26SPL
Al Nassr5
Al Najma2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Nassr5
W
07.03.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Neom SC0
W
28.02.26SPL
Al Fayha1
Al Nassr3
W
25.02.26SPL
Al Najma0
Al Nassr5
W
21.02.26SPL
Al Nassr4
Al Hazem0
W
18.02.26CL2
Al Nassr1
Arkadag0
W
Al Ahli Doha
19.04.26CL2
Al Ahli Doha3
Al Hussein1
W
08.04.26QSL
Al Ahli Doha2
Al-Duhail1
W
03.04.26QSL
Al Ahli Doha2
Al Sailiya2
D
18.03.26QSL
Al-Gharafa1
Al Ahli Doha4
W
13.03.26QSL
Al Ahli Doha1
Al Arabi1
D
27.02.26QSL
Al Ahli Doha1
Al-Shahaniya2
L
22.02.26QSL
Al Rayyan2
Al Ahli Doha1
L
18.02.26CL2
Al Ahli Doha1
Sepahan0
W
15.02.26EMI
Al Ahli Doha2
Umm-Salal4
L
11.02.26CL2
Sepahan2
Al Ahli Doha2
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this AFC Champions League 2 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.15 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Doha?
Our selection is 1 — Al Nassr to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Al Nassr's current form?
Al Nassr have won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Ahli Doha been performing recently?
Al Ahli Doha have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game.
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